Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 33.80 | HOLD | 33.80 | 30.50 | 38.41 (+13.6%) | 49.16 (+45.4%) | 48.16 (+42.5%) | Holding Lenovo after an 8% breakout to a new swing high on heavy volume; the add signal clears the bar, but the position is already at its 60% size cap, so no shares are added and the protective stop is raised to 30.50 instead. BUY-ADD BreakoutUp_52W cv79 -> adj 75 (val -4 at MoS -0.83, BreakoutUp_52W n=1 report-only); cap headroom -HK = (HS-26). Trail 29.96 -> 30.50 (HS-19 1.75 ATR spacing off new high 34.00, bar-floored HS-31, tick-rounded). RSI_DIV on an unarmed breakout is not a trim basis (G1). EXIT 100% on settled close < 30.50. FOMC 09-17: no new. · news |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 68.50 | HOLD | 68.50 | 67.02 | 70.02 (+2.2%) | 73.58 (+7.4%) | 78.06 (+14.0%) | Holding the remaining Sunny Optical shares: the stock held above its protective level for a second session and conviction recovered, with no sell signal and no fresh buy trigger. HOLD cv47 -> 55 (WATCH cleared); no new high -> trail 67.02 unchanged (HS-31); model stop 66.90 re-base rejected (HS-3a). Pre-commits: EXIT 100% on settled close < 67.02 or bearish-family flip; re-add 1,100 only on a fresh BUY* print with Entry > 67.02 and adj >= 65 after the iPhone reads. · news |
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight. Lenovo broke out 8% to a new high and is held with a raised stop, but it is already at its position-size cap, so there is no room to add; Sunny Optical stays above its stop with no new signal. No new money goes to work ahead of the 17 September Fed decision. Book HK (+5.02%); cash HK (32.0%). Step 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.097 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.