Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 34.32 | HOLD | 34.32 | 31.15 | 37.55 (+9.4%) | 45.07 (+31.3%) | 48.91 (+42.5%) | Holding Lenovo after another new high on the Fed-decision day; the trend signal strengthened to conviction 86, and the protective stop is raised to 31.15, roughly the position's cost. HOLD AnticipationUp_VCP cv86 (no buy trigger); position above the 60% cap -> (HS-26). Trail 30.50 -> 31.15 (1.75 ATR off high 34.74, bar-floored at prior low 31.64 - 0.25 ATR, tick-rounded; HS-19/HS-31); model 30.55 re-base rejected (HS-3a). RSI_DIV unarmed -> not a trim (G1/G3). EXIT 100% on settled close < 31.15. Armed at ~36.69. · news |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 67.50 | HOLD | 67.50 | 67.02 | 69.40 (+2.8%) | 73.83 (+9.4%) | 76.16 (+12.8%) | Holding the remaining Sunny Optical shares: the stock closed above its protective stop for a third session, but conviction slipped back below 50, so it is on watch for an exit if weakness repeats. HOLD cv55 -> 46 = WATCH strike one (pre-commit 2: a second consecutive sub-50 print or NO TRADE pair while losing = de-risk at next EOD). No new high -> trail 67.02 unchanged (HS-31); model 64.80 rejected (HS-3a). EXIT 100% on settled close < 67.02 or bearish-family flip. · news |
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight. Two unheld names flashed strong buys but neither qualifies: YOFC still fails the quality screen, and 2318's own 12-week projection is negative (and the ticker is mis-mapped). Lenovo made another new high and its stop is raised to 31.15; Sunny Optical holds above its stop on watch. Book HK (+0.81%); cash HK (31.8%). Step 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.097 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.