Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 35.74 | HOLD | — | 32.95 | 37.08 | 40.22 | 50.93 | Holding Lenovo on its 32.95 stop: Friday's overbought-reversal signal did not repeat - the model is back to a bullish HOLD after a 4.9% pullback to 35.74 - so there is no live reason to sell, and the Xi-Trump summit on 09-24 names Lenovo. The 09-18 30% trim never executed (ledger execution value outside the executor vocabulary, HS-28); not re-issued because its origination reverted (provenance rule). No new high (37.06 < 37.88) -> trail 32.95 unchanged (HS-31). Not armed (Gain_ATR 2.01). Pre-commits: exit on settled close < 32.95; a bearish-family print -> trim 30% (12,000) with execution=market; armed + fire tick -> ADR-0012. · news |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 67.35 | HOLD | — | 67.02 | 68.64 | 71.66 | 74.52 | Holding Sunny Optical on its 67.02 stop: it closed 67.35 after a fifth intraday dip below the stop (low 66.20), and the model still reads it bullish, but conviction fell to 40. That is WATCH strike one; a second consecutive sub-50 print (or a NO TRADE pair) while losing = exit the 2,700. PROFIT_ARMED print is the HS-2 loss artifact (T12_Progress 90.38 at -7.0%) - ignored. Exit 100% on settled close < 67.02 or bearish-family flip. · news |
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight. Friday's Lenovo trim never executed because of a ledger formatting error, and the sell signal behind it has since reverted to a bullish hold, so it is not re-issued; Lenovo holds on a 32.95 stop into the 09-24 Xi-Trump summit. Sunny Optical holds just above its 67.02 stop on one weak-conviction strike. No buy signals. Book HK (-3.04%); cash HKStep 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
16 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.