Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 67.10 | SELL ALL | 67.10 | 67.02 | 69.15 (+3.1%) | 73.92 (+10.2%) | 73.61 (+9.7%) | Exiting Sunny Optical: conviction has stayed below 50 for a second straight session while the position sits 7.4% under cost, and the model's 12-week view has collapsed toward spot - the pre-committed de-risk trigger from 09-21. Valuation is neutral (MoS +0.02). HS-33 pre-commit fired (strike two, cv40 -> 46); HS-2 PROFIT_ARMED-on-loss x2; sell all residual at the 09-23 open, reprice if gap >1.5%; realized ~-HKRe-entry only on fresh BUY* adj>=65 with Entry > 67.02. · news |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 36.74 | HOLD | — | 32.95 | 38.00 | 40.95 | 52.35 | Holding Lenovo on its 32.95 trailing stop: the model reads it bullish again (cv62) after a +2.8% day, it is not yet profit-armed, and the 09-24 Xi-Trump summit is a named catalyst to trail through. No new high (37.22 < 37.88) so trail unchanged (HS-31). Exit 100% on settled close < 32.95; bearish-family print -> trim 12,000 (execution market); arms ~37.57; no adds while >60% of book. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | One trade tonight: exit the small Sunny Optical position on its pre-committed conviction strike; Lenovo holds on a 32.95 stop into the 09-24 summit. YOFC's STRONG BUY stays blocked by the quality screen and CATL's bounce is vetoed on a negative 12-week view. Book HK (+1.69%); cash HK -> ~HKafter the sale. Step 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
15 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.