HK Tech — End-of-Day Verdict
Mirror of hk (SAME shares, execute once): 1 DISPOSE (Tencent exit) + RIDE China-semi winners on raised trails (7709 BUY-ADD but past 4wk target -> trail/no add; YOFC/SMIC/ASMPT/Hua Hong HOLD) + NO new add (buy pool inversions). ~HK; ~HK dry. Sync.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0700 | Tencent | — | DISPOSE | 421.40 | 448.62 | n/a | n/a | n/a | |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX 2x ETF | — | HOLD | 182.40 | 165.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | |
| 6869 | YOFC | — | HOLD | 287.60 | 226.63 | n/a | n/a | n/a | |
| 0981 | SMIC | — | HOLD | 86.00 | 83.80 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
29 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.030 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.