HK Tech — End-of-Day Verdict
NO NET-NEW hktech action — full mirror of hk parent (SMIC add, ASMPT queued, Tencent exit all shared shares executed once at hk; 7709 HOLD, conflict resolved). No new (buy pool falling-knives). Net incremental = 0.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0700 | Tencent | 430.20 | EXIT | 429.80 | 429.80 | n/a | n/a | 298.86 (-30.5%) | |
| 0981 | SMIC | 80.40 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @89.29 lapsed — closed 80.40 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 194.20 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @224.27 lapsed — closed 194.20 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 109.60 | HOLD | 149.00 | 140.99⚠ | n/a | 202.41 (+35.8%) | 212.32 (+42.5%) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
35 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.217 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.