HK Tech — End-of-Day Verdict
DISPOSE 2 (Tencent REDUCE 90% ->; 7709 leveraged-ETF TRIM 50% ->); ACQUIRE none (buy pool falling knives). 06-30 queued ASMPT/SMIC adds CANCELLED (flipped NO TRADE post-rout). Net-new hktech shares = executed once at hk parent.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0700 | Tencent | 430.20 | REDUCE 90% | 430.20 | 430.00 | n/a | n/a | 305.24 (-29.0%) | · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 109.60 | TRIM 50% | 109.60 | 101.17 | 123.60 (+12.8%) | 174.17 (+58.9%) | 156.18 (+42.5%) | · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 194.20 | HOLD | — | 160.30 | n/a | n/a | 276.73 | |
| 0981 | SMIC | 80.40 | HOLD | — | 69.27 | n/a | n/a | 103.38 | |
| 1347 | Hua Hong | 186.10 | HOLD | — | 157.78 | n/a | n/a | 265.19 | |
| 0992 | Lenovo | 22.02 | HOLD | 24.35 | 21.48 | n/a | n/a | 31.38 (+28.9%) | |
| 3750 | CATL | 681.00 | HOLD | — | 691.71⚠ | n/a | n/a | 712.61 | |
| 6869 | YOFC | 198.30 | HOLD | 194.27 | 188.45 | n/a | n/a | 232.65 (+19.8%) | |
| 9988 | BABA | 94.50 | NO BUY | 94.50 | 88.05 | n/a | 104.84 (+10.9%) | 53.86 (-43.0%) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
35 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.217 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.