HK Tech — End-of-Day Verdict
DISPOSE 2 (0700 Tencent REDUCE ~90% ->; 3750 CATL de-risk TRIM 30% ->); ACQUIRE 1 (2513 Knowledge Atlas QUEUED buy-stop @1827.28,). 7709 pending 07-02 trim RELEASED (recovered). Net-new executed once at hk parent.
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0700 | Tencent | 431.20 | SELL 89.93% | 431.20 | 430.00 | n/a | n/a | 311.61 (-27.7%) | re-affirm 07-02 REDUCE; shared/hk execute once; sell cell +10; overlay override 27d-stale · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 675.50 | SELL 30% | 675.50 | 691.71⚠ | n/a | n/a | 690.58 (+2.2%) | armed(T12prog97.82)+2xNO TRADE+2.34pct below stop+12wk near-dead; underwater vs cost 751.8; trim not full exit; shared/hk once |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 1793.00 | BUY — QUEUED @1827.28 | 1827.28 | 1372.94 | 1952.22 (+6.8%) | 2243.73 (+22.8%) | 2555.03 (+39.8%) | strengthening WATCH->BUY->STRONG BUY cv53-> rank1; pure-play AI rotation; cap no pyramiding; shared/hk once · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 116.80 | HOLD | 116.80 | 102.50 | n/a | n/a | 166.44 (+42.5%) | recovered +6.6pct cv39->57 bullish flip above stop; leveraged-ETF crash de-risk basis gone; override untriggered; also hklev |
| 6869 | YOFC | 201.20 | HOLD | — | 188.45 | n/a | n/a | 212.99 | PROFIT_ARMED T12prog94.46 but not fired (1 NO TRADE, price up); mandatory trail-raise not trim |
| 1347 | Hua Hong | 178.00 | HOLD | — | 157.78 | n/a | n/a | 253.65 | +11.25pct vs cost; 12wk positive; not armed |
| 0992 | Lenovo | 21.30 | HOLD | — | 21.48⚠ | n/a | n/a | 30.35 | 0.84pct marginal breach, 12wk positive -> not L2 exit; stale-stop artifact |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
33 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.286 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.