Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 65.20 | NO ACTION | 65.20 | -8.86 | n/a | 107.91 (+65.5%) | 41.80 (-35.9%) | Highest-conviction print in the book (STRONG BUY cv86, Buy_Rank #1) but REJECTED on three hard blocks. This is a 2x leveraged ETF: (1) Stop_Price -8.86 is negative/unusable (ATR 21.34 ~= 33% of the 65.2 close, so the ATR-multiple stop underflows) -- the entry cannot be risk-defined, violating CLAUDE.md section 9. (2) Target_12Week 41.8 is -36% below the 65.2 close (negative 12wk falling knife, book note B). (3) Single-print flip from AVOID (cv66/57/69) to STRONG BUY cv86; price below every EMA and -41% below VWAP, Consolidation_Bearish regime, wild intraday range (H66.18/L48.72). A deep-downtrend oversold bounce on a 2x leveraged instrument, not the L1-favored PullbackBuy cell. Not buyable long-only; ledgered direction=none/optional for counterfactual grading. f=0.30 (L5). |
| — | hktech book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO ACTION -- 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE; confirms/extends the 07-13 NO ACTION, second consecutive session in 100% cash. Sell pool empty (zero holdings). The only floor-clearing buy print (7709 STRONG BUY cv86) is a 2x-leveraged-ETF oversold bounce hard-blocked on an unusable negative stop (-8.86) + negative 12wk (-36%); no other name clears the 65 floor (0992 cv53, 0981 cv45, 2513 cv45, rest AVOID/WATCH falling knives). HKdry fully retained into/after the 07-14 June CPI print, honoring the overlay de-risk-into-CPI bias. Valuation technical-only (NA_CCY, quality gate off, val_adj 0). f=0.30 (calib_1w -0.45). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.450 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.