Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2318 | AAC TECH | 56.90 | NO ACTION | 53.76 | 52.24 | 55.02 (+2.3%) | 55.15 (+2.6%) | 50.51 (-6.0%) | Rejected a third straight session: now BELOW the 65 floor (cv65->58 decaying) AND fails the HT-4 forward-view screen - both horizons sit under close 56.90 (4wk -3.1%, 12wk -11.2%) - and it is extended (Entry_Distance_ATR -2.59, close +5.8% above the 53.76 pullback entry) so it is a chase at best. NA_CCY valuation-unreliable. Note-B falling-knife-in-disguise; not queued, not bought. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO ACTION - 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE, 100%-cash streak continues. Sell pool empty by construction (zero holdings). Buy pool's only bullish-actionable name 2318 (cv58) is sub-floor with a negative 4wk/12wk forward view and extended; 9988 (cv55) and 1810 (cv50) are sub-floor WATCH with negative forward views. Yesterday's floor-clearing 0992 acquire collapsed and its pending order was withdrawn before it filled. Valuation regenerated fresh this run (real FV, not NA blind) but the actionable candidate is NA_CCY. HKfully retained. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
5 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.015 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.