Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | LENOVO | 24.62 | BUY | 24.62 | 24.09 | 25.68 (+4.3%) | 28.16 (+14.4%) | 35.08 (+42.5%) | First in 8 sessions: Lenovo prints BUY cv84 (up, 2 consecutive prints) at entry (no chase) with a strong positive forward view (4wk +14.4%, 12wk +42.5%) and a definable stop - clears the conviction floor AND the HT-4 forward-view screen the framework has waited for; the 07-22 re-arm condition fired. Sized to one modest tranche (~4.9% of book) given the FailedBreakdown_Up family caution (L1: ~0.25 hit/60% stop-first; mirror +10 edge retired D1/HT-2) and a tight 0.30-ATR stop on a name stopped out twice before. Stop 24.09 is a hard risk-defined exit; if stopped, do not re-chase. Action price is the anchor-close ref, executes at the next open (L8) - reprice if it gaps >1.5%. News: no dilutive placement (HT-6 clear). · news |
| 2318 | AAC TECH | 57.05 | NO ACTION | 53.54 | 51.99 | 53.97 (+0.8%) | 54.96 (+2.7%) | 49.73 (-7.1%) | Floor-clearer rejected on the HT-4 forward-view screen: both horizons sit below the close (4wk -3.7%, 12wk -12.8%), R:R 0.92 (HT-3 sub-1 artifact), and it is extended (Entry_Distance_ATR -2.83, close +6.6% above the pullback entry) so it would be queue-only at best; single fresh BUY print (AVOID->NT->NT->BUY), low stability. A note-B falling-knife-in-disguise. |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 119.60 | NO ACTION | 119.60 | 117.30 | 121.77 (+1.8%) | 126.82 (+6.0%) | 127.60 (+6.7%) | Deteriorated to WATCH cv45 (sub-floor) after BUY73->BUY69 on 07-20/21; the 07-21 acquire was reconciled expired/unfilled on 07-22. Positive forward view (4wk +6.0%, 12wk +6.7%) keeps it on watch; re-arm on a fresh BUY cv>=65 with a definable stop. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
4 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.015 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.