Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 33.80 | HOLD | 33.80 | 30.78 | 37.28 (+10.3%) | 45.39 (+34.3%) | 48.16 (+42.5%) | Lenovo jumped 8.3% to 33.80 on heavy volume and the engine upgraded it to a 52-week breakout (conviction at fair value with the book's top quality rank, so the winner is held through FOMC and the iPhone 18 launch. Stop held 30.78 (HT-28 trail min(chandelier 36.16-3x1.963=30.27, close-1.5ATR 30.86) < carried; never lowered; scan Stop 29.37 ignored per HT-25); cushion now 1.54 ATR / 8.9% (HT-39 condition cleared). Not ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 2.40 < 3.0; T12_Progress prints 70.18 frozen, hand 24.7%). RSI_DIV present but no sell class: unarmed, MoS -0.69 > -3 so no 9c elevate, G3 bullish signal. T12 48.16 = clamp ceiling (HT-27) n/a and exceeds DCF 45.64. f=0.30 (calib_1w -0.293); 1wk/4wk record-only (HT-44), 4wk target overshoots Est_High 36.14 (HT-23). · news |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 33.80 | NO ACTION | 33.30 | 30.78 | 36.93 (+10.9%) | 45.39 (+36.3%) | 48.16 (+44.6%) | The engine asks to add to Lenovo after an 8% one-day pop, but it is a single print carrying an RSI divergence, the honest reward-to-risk is below 1 and the order executor has been offline since 09-08, so the add is withheld rather than queued. Adj 79-3=76 clears 65, but: HT-46 executor stale 6 sessions (no executable card may be issued); HT-7 single BUY-ADD print after HOLD/54; HT-23 R:R (min(45.39, Est_High 36.14)-33.30)/(33.30-29.37)=0.72 < 1.5; chase rule EDA -0.25 with close 33.80 near high 34.00; HT-18 add above last fill 31.75. Hypothetical model size 58.23% x = 9,317 -> (lot 2,000) = HKat 33.30, NOT authorised. Re-arm = executor run current + 2nd consecutive BUY-ADD print + RSI_DIV cleared + honest R:R >= 1.5, priced at the live Entry_Price. · news |
| 2513 | Knowledge Atlas (Z.AI) | 720.00 | NO ACTION | 720.00 | 406.34 | n/a | 947.51 (+31.6%) | 410.40 (-43.0%) | Z.AI flipped from a bearish AVOID to STRONG BUY in one session on an oversold bounce, but it is still far below its 20- and 50-day averages with a negative 12-week view and a stop 44% away, a classic falling knife, so no entry. HT-43 hard veto (AVOID/58 prior session, AVOID/81 two sessions back); HT-4 fail (close 720 < EMA20 947.5 / EMA50 1097; T12 410.4 = 0.57 clamp floor); HT-45 stop 3.40 ATR outside band; honest R:R (min(947.51, Est_High 936)-720)/313.66 = 0.69; ATR 12.8% of price; HT-6 placement overhang context; HT-46 executor stale. Valuation NA (Quality_Pass False, rank 10). Re-arm = >=2 consecutive bullish prints + close back above EMA20 + stop inside [1.0, 2.5] ATR. · news |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trade today: the two buy prints (a Lenovo add and a Z.AI rebound) both fail the book's stability, reward-to-risk and executor-safety gates, and nothing held has a sell case. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE; HOLD 0992 stop 30.78; cash HK (73.9% of HK). Executor stale since 09-08 (HT-46). HT-12 breadth gauge tripped (9 rising bearish rows). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
5 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.293 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.