Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 34.32 | HOLD | 34.18 | 30.78 | 37.55 (+9.9%) | 45.07 (+31.9%) | 48.91 (+43.1%) | Lenovo kept its uptrend through the Fed decision (conviction 86, above all moving averages) with no sell signal and the iPhone 18 launch tomorrow, so hold the. Stop held 30.78 (chandelier 30.72 < carried; scan 30.55 ignored HT-25); cushion 1.95 ATR. Not ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 2.88); arm line 34.54 - a close >=34.54 with RSI_DIV still printing fires a mandatory 30% trim (; G1 does not soften on AnticipationUp_VCP). 12wk 48.91 is clamp ceiling, exceeds DCF 45.64. Executor stale since 09-08 (HT-46). · news |
| 6869 | YOFC | 184.40 | NO ACTION | 184.40 | 177.10 | n/a | 212.31 (+15.1%) | 220.47 (+19.6%) | YOFC printed a first-day buy, but it fails the quality screen, is priced far above its intrinsic anchor, and its stop sits on the session low barely half a day's range away, so no entry. Quality gate (Quality_Pass False) blocks the new entry; val_adj -10 (MoS -13.0), size x0.5; HT-45 stop 0.52 ATR; HT-7 single print after NT/NT/WATCH-53; L1-discounted family; HT-46 executor stale. Hypothetical 0.5x HK < one 500-sh lot. Re-arm = executor live + 2nd consecutive BUY + Quality_Pass True + stop in [1.0, 2.5] ATR. · news |
| 2318 | Ping An (mislabelled AAC, HT-20) | 52.85 | NO ACTION | 53.04 | 52.09 | n/a | 55.35 (+4.4%) | 44.00 (-17.0%) | The 2318 strong-buy is Ping An Insurance, not a tech name, and it sits below its moving averages with a 12-week view under the price, so no entry. HT-20 identity (2318.HK = Ping An; AAC is 2018.HK); HT-4 T12 44.00 < close 52.85, below EMA20/50; HT-45 stop 0.92 ATR; HT-7 first bullish print after 3 AVOIDs; HT-46. |
| 1024 | KUAISHOU-W | 29.94 | NO ACTION | 29.94 | 27.87 | n/a | 33.09 (+10.5%) | 17.07 (-43.0%) | Kuaishou looks cheap and printed an oversold bounce, but it is still in a steep downtrend with a sharply negative 12-week view and almost no reward to its stop, so no entry. HT-4/note-B falling knife (T12 17.07 on 0.57 clamp floor; close < EMA20 33.09 / EMA50 37.25); honest R:R (min(33.09, Est_High 30.54)-29.94)/2.07 = 0.29; HT-7 first print after 3 AVOID/30; HT-46. Stop 1.96 ATR is the only gate passed. · news |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trade today: the three buy prints (YOFC, Ping An, Kuaishou) fail the book's quality, stop-geometry and trend gates, and Lenovo has no sell case. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE; HOLD 0992 stop 30.78; cash HK (73.6% of HK). Executor stale since 09-08 (HT-46); 0992 arm line 34.54. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
5 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.293 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.