Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 37.58 | SELL 89.93% | 37.58 | 33.55 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lenovo ran +9.5% to a new 52-week high on heavy volume and the model flipped from HOLD to STRONG SELL - REDUCE on an overbought reversal, so we bank most of a ~29% gain and keep a small runner; valuation is only fair (MoS -1.03) and does not argue for holding. Late-flipped REDUCE cv70, Portion 89.93% x; PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 3.92) but no ADR-0012 tick fired (RSI_DIV cleared, cv -16, T12 clamp-saturated). Market at 09-21 open, ref 37.58 - reprice if gap >1.5%. Runner 2,000 stop 30.78->33.55 (2.0xATR chandelier). HT-46 gate judged a state-file artifact: executor ran daily per logs. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | hktech | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Take most of the Lenovo profit after the model's sell signal; no buy setups today. 0 ACQUIRE / 1 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. 0992 SELL @mkt 09-21 (~HK proceeds); runner 2,000 stop 33.55; cash ~HK post-fill (96.5%). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
5 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.293 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.