Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 36.74 | HOLD | 36.74 | 33.58 | 38.00 (+3.4%) | 40.95 (+11.5%) | 52.35 (+42.5%) | Lenovo recovered to 36.74 and the model firmed to HOLD/59 with the position now profit-armed but showing no sign of deterioration, so we keep the runner through the Xi-Trump summit and ratchet the protective stop up rather than sell. PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 3.63), no fire tick (conv, T12 52.35 alive, no other Exit_Warning); trail 33.55->33.58 = min(chandelier 37.88-2x2.1072=33.67, close-1.5xATR=33.58); scan Stop 32.53 ignored (HT-25); catalyst hold into 09-24. · news |
| 6869 | YOFC | 190.50 | WATCH | 179.75 | 162.27 | 184.56 (+2.7%) | 195.78 (+8.9%) | 240.20 (+33.6%) | YOFC printed a strong buy signal, but it fails our quality screen and is priced far above intrinsic value, and the setup's reward barely covers its risk, so we do not open a position. STRONG BUY/94 single-print flip out of NT/0->WATCH/53 (HT-43); Quality_Pass False blocks new entry; R:R 0.92 (HT-3); close 190.50 extended 0.77 ATR over entry. Recorded for withhold grading (HT-32/37). · news |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The two buy signals today failed our quality and forward-view checks and nothing held needs selling; the book stays ~97% cash with the Lenovo runner protected by a raised stop. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. 6869 withheld (quality gate), 3750 rejected (adj 62 < 65, T12 -43%). 0992 stop 33.58. Cash HK. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.