Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 36.92 | HOLD | 36.92 | 33.77 | 38.15 (+3.3%) | 41.03 (+11.1%) | 52.61 (+42.5%) | Lenovo held steady at 36.92 with the model at HOLD/59 and the position profit-armed but showing no deterioration, so we keep the runner through the Xi-Trump summit and ratchet the protective stop up rather than sell. PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 3.81), no fire tick (conv, T12 52.61 alive, no other Exit_Warning, no NO TRADE); trail 33.58->33.77 = min(chandelier 37.88-2x2.0538=33.77, close-1.5xATR=33.84); scan Stop 32.81 ignored (HT-25); catalyst hold into 09-24. · news |
| 6869 | YOFC | 195.70 | WATCH | 195.70 | 189.50 | 203.75 (+4.1%) | 222.52 (+13.7%) | 254.41 (+30.0%) | YOFC still prints a buy signal, but it fails our quality screen, trades far above intrinsic value, and its stop sits right on today's low, so there is no defensible risk line for a new position. BUY/84 (from STRONG BUY/94, family churn PullbackBuy_VWAP->FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, HT-7); Quality_Pass False blocks new entry; stop 0.46 ATR = session low (HT-33). Recorded for withhold grading (HT-32/37). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 511.50 | WATCH | 511.50 | 478.39 | 522.17 (+2.1%) | 547.06 (+7.0%) | 291.55 (-43.0%) | CATL's oversold-bounce buy signal is too weak once valuation is factored in and its 12-week outlook points sharply lower, so we pass. BUY/65 -> adj 62 (< 65 floor); T12 291.55 = -43% vs close (HT-4/HT-53, clamp HT-27); RSI 28 falling knife; R:R 1.07. Recorded for withhold grading. · news |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Four buy signals printed but each failed a quality, stop-distance or forward-view check, and nothing held needs selling; the book stays ~97% cash with the Lenovo runner protected by a raised stop. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. 6869 withheld (quality gate, HT-33), 3750 rejected (adj 62), 0148/7747 sub-floor. 0992 stop 33.77. Cash HK. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.