Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 35.48 | SELL 30% | 35.48 | 34.14 | n/a | n/a | 50.56 (+42.5%) | The model has now abstained on Lenovo for two straight sessions after a 22% gain. So we bank 30% of the runner before the multi-day Golden Week closure and keep the rest behind its stop. Profit-take: PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 3.51) + tick (d) 2 consecutive NO TRADE (09-28, 09-29; 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'). This is the 09-28 named trigger leg (i), resolved FIRED and retired. (odd lot; board lot; paper executor fills) at the 09-30 open, ref close 35.48; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. Banks ~HK (+22% on cost 29.0925). Remaining on stop 34.14 (ratchet; chandelier 34.24 / close-1.5ATR 32.75). Executor verified alive in the 09-29 log (last_run_date is a fills watermark, HT-46 false alarm). No valuation bump (MoS -0.92). · news |
| PORTFOLIO | hktech | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No buy signals for a fourth straight session. The only action is a pre-committed 30% profit-take on Lenovo, leaving the book ~98% cash into the Golden Week break. 0 ACQUIRE / 1 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. 09-23 withholds still vindicated (6869 -14.7%, 3750 -5.7%). Cash HK -> ~HKpost-fill. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.