Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 34.32 | HOLD | 34.32 | 34.14 | 34.87 (+1.6%) | 36.16 (+5.4%) | 48.91 (+42.5%) | Lenovo stays a hold on the remaining : the 30% profit-take filled at 34.24 this morning, the trend is intact above EMA20 and the 12-week view is still positive, so we trail rather than cut further. PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 3.12) but no fire tick: no other Exit_Warning, cv (-6 < 20), T12 48.91 >= 1.02x34.32, no NT streak. Trail held at 34.14 (HT-39 never lower; chandelier 37.88-2x1.676=34.53 sits above the close, HT-28 inversion). Intraday low 33.74 pierced it but close held (L4). Decisive close <34.14 = full exit of remainder. · news |
| — | ASMPT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT printed a BUY on the post-Micron chip rally, but it fails the quality screen, is priced well beyond fair value, and its own 12-week projection sits below today's price, so we pass. BUY/73 BreakoutUp_20D single print off NT/NT/AVOID (HT-7/HT-43); quality gate blocks (Quality_Pass False); val_adj -10 -> adj 63 < 65; T12 161.58 < close 173.00 (HT-4); stop 3.08 ATR outside [1.0,2.5] band (HT-33/45). Buy-stop entry 176.62 would chase. Ledgered optional for the counterfactual grader. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: the Lenovo trim from the last verdict filled at the open, and the only new BUY print (ASMPT) failed the quality, valuation and forward-view screens. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. 0992 600 sold @34.24 (txn hktech-20261002-0001, ref 34.54, -0.9% gap, inside band). Book HK (+5.99% vs seed); cash HK (97.7%). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
5 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.