Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | CATL | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL is cheap on our valuation and passes the quality screen, but it fell another 11% today, the stop would sit 23% below the price for less reward than risk, and its own Q3 results land in one to two sessions, so we wait. STRONG BUY/90 2nd print (HT-43 passes; HT-60 necessary-not-sufficient); R:R 1.25, stop 2.82 ATR / -23.3% (HT-53); T12 207.94 = clamp floor (HT-27, n/a); Est band 255.36-448.90 centred -3.5%; CATL Q3 ~10-22/23 + Tesla read-through (L6). Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | MANYCORE TECH | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Manycore's buy signal held at its highest level while the stock fell another 13%; the company still fails our quality screen and the stop would sit more than half the price away, so we pass. STRONG BUY/90 2nd print on a -13.2% day (RSI 16.1); quality gate blocks new entry (FV negative); stop 1.44 = -53.4%; T12 1.76 = clamp floor (n/a); Est band 2.16-3.90. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | Hua Hong Semiconductor | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong flashed an oversold-bounce buy with a tidy stop, but it is the first buy print after three AVOID days, the company fails our quality screen and trades far above its earnings-power value, and the model's forward band sits below the price, so we pass. STRONG BUY/75 single print (HT-43); quality gate blocks new entry; val_adj -10 (MoS -13.15), size x0.5; R:R 2.86, stop 1.34 ATR; T12 41.89 = clamp floor; Est band 57.58-74.97 centred -9.8%; Lam read-through 10-22. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | ASMPT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT printed a marginal buy after three AVOID days, but the valuation haircut drops it well below our conviction floor and the company fails our quality screen ahead of its 10-27 results, so we pass. BUY/65 single print; val_adj -10 (MoS -3.67) -> adj 55 < 65; quality gate blocks new entry; R:R 1.72; T12 79.51 = -40.8% (unsaturated); Est band 113.14-141.23 centred -5.4%. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: four HK tech names flashed buy signals, but CATL's oversold bounce offers less reward than risk right before its own results, Manycore and Hua Hong fail the quality screen, and ASMPT falls below the conviction floor after its valuation haircut, while most of the book's universe remains in AVOID or NO TRADE, so the book stays fully in cash. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.