Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | CATL | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL's buy signal held for a third day while the stock fell another 7%, the stop would sit a quarter below the price for barely more reward than risk, the model's forward range sits below today's close, and its Q3 results price at tomorrow's open, so we wait. STRONG BUY/90 3rd print; R:R 1.44, stop 2.78 ATR / -24.5% (HT-53); T12 192.89 = clamp floor (HT-27, n/a); Est band 236.88-384.11 centred -8.2%; FV Val_Signal blank on regen (Q pass); L6 pre-print. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | MANYCORE TECH | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Manycore's buy signal has stayed at its highest level for four sessions while the stock lost more than a third of its value; the company fails our quality screen and the stop would sit half the price away, so we pass. STRONG BUY/90 4th print (-4.2% day, RSI 15.7); quality gate blocks new entry (FV negative); stop 1.44 = -51.4%; T12 1.69 = clamp floor; Est band 2.07-3.20 centred -11.0%. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | SMIC | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC jumped from AVOID to a strong oversold-reversal buy on a 6% down day, but it is a first print, the company fails our quality screen and trades well above its earnings-power value, and the model's forward range sits below the price, so we pass. STRONG BUY/90 single print after AVOID x3 (HT-43); quality gate blocks new entry; val_adj -10 (MoS -3.71), size x0.5; R:R 1.33, stop 2.78 ATR / -15.2%; T12 26.70 = clamp floor; Est band 36.79-49.52 centred -7.9%. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x SK Hynix ETF flipped from AVOID to BUY after a 12% drop, but the stop would sit half the price away for less than 1.5x reward and the model's forward range sits below the close a week before Hynix reports, so we pass. BUY/71 single print (HT-43); stop 8.38 = -51.3%; R:R 1.49; T12 9.80 = clamp floor; Est band 12.04-18.80 centred -10.3%; SK Hynix Q3 10-28. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: the only buy signals in HK tech are oversold-reversal calls on stocks still falling (CATL, Manycore, SMIC and the 2x Hynix ETF), each with a model forward range below today's close, while ten of 21 names broke down below their 20-day lows, so the book stays fully in cash. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.