Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | MANYCORE TECH | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Manycore still prints a strong oversold-reversal buy for a fifth day, but it fails our quality screen for new positions and the stop would sit more than half the price away, so we stay out. SB/90 x5; quality gate (FV negative); stop 1.41 = -53.5%; R:R 1.56; T12 1.73 = clamp floor; Est band 2.12-3.69 centred -4.1%. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | SMIC | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC's oversold-reversal buy is richly priced against intrinsic value, fails the quality screen, and offers less reward than risk to its stop, so we pass. SB/90 x2; quality gate; MoS -3.71 (val_adj -10, size x0.5); R:R 0.80, stop -22.2%; T12 26.82 = clamp floor; Est band 35.61-48.07 centred -11.1%. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | Hua Hong Semiconductor | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong flipped back to BUY after four label changes in four sessions; it fails the quality screen, trades far above intrinsic value and its stop is 30% away for roughly 1:1 reward, so we pass. BUY/82 single print (HT-43); quality gate; MoS -10.35; R:R 1.02; T12 38.45 = clamp floor; Est band 48.80-68.80 centred -12.8%. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: HK tech bounced but most names printed failed-breakout sell signals, and the only buy signals (Manycore, SMIC, Hua Hong) are oversold-reversal calls that fail our quality screen with forward ranges below the close, so the book stays fully in cash. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.