Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Sunny Optical Technology | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Sunny Optical jumped to a strong breakout buy signal, but it came one session after a sell-side signal and the model's 12-week view sits below today's close, so we wait for the signal to confirm. STRONG BUY/86 BreakoutUp_20D single print after AVOID/63 (HT-43, the 09-01 2382 precedent); T12 61.54 = -6.5% unclamped (HT-53 forward leg fails); Est band 56.85-67.12 centred -5.8%; stop 56.87 = -13.2% (3.1 ATR); R:R 2.00 passes; quality pass, UNDERVALUED MoS 0.13 (price basis 60.15 vs 65.80, +9.4% drift, used as printed). Apple FQ4 read-through 10-30. Re-arm: 2nd consecutive buy print with the entry within 0.25 ATR of 65.50 and T12 at/above the close. |
| — | ASMPT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT printed an oversold-reversal buy on its results day, but it fails our quality screen, its stop sits a quarter below the price and the 12-week view is pinned at the model floor, so we pass. BUY/84 single print after WATCH/65 and AVOID/48; Q3 print priced today (opened 127.10, closed 118.30; L6 no post-earnings chase); quality gate fail; stop -24.8%; R:R 0.77; T12 clamp floor. |
| — | MANYCORE TECH | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Manycore jumped 21% on a seventh straight strong-buy print, but it fails our quality screen and its stop is more than half the price away, so it is not a risk-defined entry. SB/90 x7; +20.6% session (3.125 -> 3.77, chase); quality gate fail (FV blank); stop 1.68 = -55.4%; R:R 0.58; T12 clamp floor. |
| — | Aac Technologies Holdings | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | This row is carried under the wrong identity (2318.HK is Ping An, not AAC Tech) and its 12-week view is 28% below the close, so we do not act on it. BUY/65 -> BUY/66; HT-20 identity defect; T12 -28.5% unclamped (HT-53); R:R 1.71. |
| — | CATL | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL's oversold-bounce buy signal is still just below our conviction floor and its 12-week view is pinned at the model floor, so we keep watching. BUY/61 -> BUY/64; adj 64 < 65; T12 clamp floor; R:R 2.36; RSI 19.2; quality pass, Val_Signal blank (Systemic #3). |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: Sunny Optical jumped to a strong breakout buy, but a day after a sell-side signal and with a 12-week view below the close, and the other buy signals fail our quality, stop or conviction screens, so the book stays in cash into the FOMC and hyperscaler results. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.