Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | MANYCORE TECH | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Manycore's oversold-reversal buy signal fails our quality screen, its stop sits about half the price below the close, and the reward does not cover the risk, so we pass. 8th buy print (SB/90 -> BUY/84); closed 3.28 (-13.0%) after the 10-28 gap reversed; R:R 0.94; T12 clamp floor; quality gate (FV blank). |
| — | SMIC | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC's first buy print in the selloff is richly valued, fails our quality screen and falls below our conviction floor once valuation is counted, so we pass. WATCH/65 -> BUY/70 single print (HT-43); adj 60 < 65; R:R 0.93; stop -17.6%; T12 clamp floor; Q3 due 11-06..11-13. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: the only two buy signals, Manycore and SMIC, fail our quality screen and offer less reward than risk, and yesterday's declined names mostly fell or lost their buy signals, so the book stays in cash through FOMC and the hyperscaler results. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.