Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Hua Hong Semiconductor | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong printed an oversold-bounce buy after another 6% fall, but it fails our quality screen and trades far above intrinsic value, which takes it below our conviction floor with results due next week. BUY/66 single print after WATCH/56; adj 56 < 65; quality gate; T12 clamp floor; printed R:R 2.76 is 0.33 against Est_High 62.86; Q3 ~11-05/06. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | TENCENT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent bounced off a new 52-week low into a first buy signal, but the signal came one session after a sell-side print, it sits just under our conviction floor, and the model's 12-week view is well below the close, so we wait for confirmation. BUY/65 single print after AVOID/62 RallySell_BearTrend (HT-43); adj 64 < 65; T12 -32.8% unclamped (HT-53); R:R 0.92; quality pass, stop 2.01 ATR. Re-arm: 2nd consecutive buy print, adj >= 65, R:R >= ~1.5. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: Hua Hong and Tencent printed first oversold-bounce buy signals, but neither clears our conviction floor once valuation is counted, and hardware and AI names sold off again, so the book stays in cash. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.