Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
RECONCILE (10th cycle): the 07-08 pending REIT market exits + D05 queue went UNEXECUTED at the 07-09 open (monitor: no trades, unchanged). Settled 07-09 close turned RISK-ON — banks flipped bullish (S68 STRONG BUY-ADD cv82 top rank; O39/U11 BUY-ADD but RSI 81/87.5 EXTREME; D05 faded BUY-ADD→HOLD). REIT 12wk "lift" is a model-floor artifact (Est_12W hugs close, conf-80% wide bands) → SG-3 governs: de-risk rests on persistent below-stop + deep-neg MoS_FV. KEEP ME8U -60% + J69U -50% (live SR1) + C07 100% + 9CI/A17U carries. DE-ARM BUOU -50% (settled flip to HOLD bullish + above stop, L4 — don't sell the bounce). WITHDRAW B61 -30% (bounced +3.2% above stop) + D05 queue (faded to HOLD). ACQUIRE S68 QUEUED buy-stop @24.79 (measured, into CPI). ANTICIPATE/PROFIT-TAKE NO ACTION.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 5 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S68 | Singapore Exchange | 24.62 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @24.79 lapsed — closed 24.62 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Top SG buy signal: STRONG BUY-ADD cv82, Buy_Rank 1, MomentumContinuation_Up (2 prints), RSI 69.4 not extreme -- the one bank/exchange add not blown out on RSI. Queued a buy-stop @24.79 so it fills only on confirmed strength; measured (of a ~2,570 model size) because the estimation model projects a FLAT 12wk (+0.2%) and RSI_DIV prints into the 07-14 CPI. val_adj -10 (OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -1.95), size x0.75. Stop 23.96. L8 pending 07-10 open; no-chase buy-stop. |
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.92 | SELL 60% | 1.92 | 1.96⚠ | 1.92 (+0.0%) | 1.94 (+1.0%) | 1.97 (+2.6%) | Broken data-centre REIT: closed 1.92 below its 1.96 stop again (10th unexecuted cycle) with an intraday STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv69, and intrinsic value is far below price (GROWTH_PRICED_IN, MoS -9.48). The Est_12W +2.6% is a model-floor artifact (hugs close), not a real turn -- SG-3 governs. Escalated to a MARKET exit of 60% (keep 47,279 on the data-centre tailwind); trail 1.96. Biggest $ bleeder; scorecard sell cell +1. |
| J69U | Frasers Centrepoint Trust | 2.24 | SELL 50% | 2.24 | 2.18 | 2.24 (+0.0%) | 2.25 (+0.4%) | 2.29 (+2.2%) | Live STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv71 SR1 at the settled close (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, 2 of last 3 prints) -- a formal signal-based sell that stands on its own, and the scorecard grades this SG sell family +1. Standing multi-cycle de-risk -> market exit of 50% (keep 14,000, trail 2.18). Frees ~S. |
| C07 | Jardine Cycle & Carriage | 27.27 | SELL ALL | 27.27 | 28.28⚠ | 27.49 (+0.8%) | 28.16 (+3.3%) | 29.42 (+7.9%) | Re-armed sell: STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv27 all intraday, faded to AVOID cv44 at close, still 27.27 below the 28.28 stop. Small 500-share odd lot -- clean it out entirely rather than re-queue a fourth cycle. NA_CCY valuation (USD reporter). |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.49 | SELL ALL | 2.49 | 2.57⚠ | 2.49 (+0.0%) | 2.52 (+1.2%) | 2.57 (+3.2%) | AVOID cv47, closed 2.49 below the 2.57 stop again -- carried exit bundled into the ME8U REIT basket. Small position (~S); full exit. |
| A17U | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | 2.49 | SELL ALL | 2.49 | 2.56⚠ | 2.50 (+0.4%) | 2.51 (+0.8%) | 2.55 (+2.4%) | AVOID cv60, closed 2.49 below the 2.56 stop with intrinsic value far under price (MoS -7.86). Tiny 400-share odd lot -- clean out, roll into the REIT basket. |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 44.34 | HOLD | — | 42.02 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Re-printed BUY-ADD cv71 but RSI 87.5 is blown out and the overlay flags de-risk-into-CPI when extended -- do not chase (this exact overbought flip was withdrawn on 07-08). WATCH for a non-extended reprint; hold the core. Stop 42.02. |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 27.32 | HOLD | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY-ADD cv71 but RSI 81 extreme and the held position is an immaterial -- no queue, WATCH. |
| S58 | SATS | 4.48 | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Prints WATCH PullbackBuy_VWAP cv53 (not BUY-ANTICIPATE) across all 4 snaps -> anticipate slot ineligible. Quality passes, FAIR_VALUE MoS -2.18. WATCH for a BUY-ANTICIPATE arm (needs). |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Comm Trust | 1.30 | HOLD | — | 1.24 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hold -- no actionable signal at the settled close. |
| S63 | ST Engineering | 10.92 | HOLD | — | 10.44 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hold -- no actionable signal at the settled close. |
| HMN | CapitaLand Ascott | 0.90 | HOLD | — | 0.88 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hold -- no actionable signal at the settled close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
70 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.229 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.