Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
RECONCILE (11th cycle): the 07-09 pending REIT market exits + S68 buy-stop went UNEXECUTED at the 07-10 open (monitor: no trades, unchanged). Settled 07-10 close — the de-risk FIRMED: **ME8U + J69U both print STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv71** (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, scorecard +1) → escalate to MARKET EXITS at the model's **80%** (SG-1/L3, "target full exit"). Bank adds still extended into 07-14 CPI — **U11 BUY-ADD cv71 but RSI 87.6 EXTREME → WATCH** (no-chase/provenance demote, SG-4). **NO fresh ACQUIRE**: S68 faded STRONG BUY-ADD→HOLD cv60 (<65) → WITHDRAW the @24.79 queue (buy-stop never triggered, close 24.24); M44U BUY cv70 + C38U BUY-ANTICIPATE cv76 3/3 both **quality-gate BLOCKED** (Q_Pass=F, new REIT entries into the de-risk theme). BUOU back below stop but AVOID (no SELL label at settled close) + 12wk +1.5% → **stay WATCH/trail** (L4). ANTICIPATE/PROFIT-TAKE NO ACTION.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 5 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.93 | SELL 80% | 1.94 | 1.90 | 1.94 (+0.0%) | 1.97 (+1.5%) | 2.00 (+3.1%) | Exit the biggest REIT bleeder: signal firmed to STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv71 (from AVOID cv50) on FailedBreakout_Down_20D and Yahoo flags a weaker Q2/half-year — the de-risk that has gone unexecuted for 11 cycles. Escalate to a market exit of the model's 80% at the 07-13 open (SG-1/L3, target full exit). Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN MoS -9.48 but G2-suppressed (12wk 2.00 > DCF 1.55, DCF-unreliable) so the exit rests on the signal, not the MoS; Est_12W floor artifact (SG-3). Earnings 07-23 beyond the 5-day window. Trail 1.90 on the kept 23,679. · news |
| J69U | Frasers Centrepoint Trust | 2.26 | SELL 80% | 2.25 | 2.19 | 2.25 (+0.0%) | 2.26 (+0.4%) | 2.29 (+1.8%) | Live STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv71 SR1 at the settled close (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, scorecard +1) — a formal signal-based sell on a standing multi-cycle de-risk. Escalate to a market exit of the model's 80% at the 07-13 open (SG-1). Valuation NA (no amplify); Est estimates hug the close (SG-3 floor artifact) so the exit rests on the signal. News neutral (Frasers Property CEO-designate, governance). Trail 2.19 on the kept 5,600. · news |
| C07 | Jardine C&C | 26.70 | SELL ALL | 27.36 | 28.36⚠ | 27.62 (+1.0%) | 28.28 (+3.4%) | 29.23 (+6.8%) | Tiny odd-lot cleanup carried forward: AVOID cv44 (STRONG SELL-REDUCE intraday) closing 27.36 below the 28.36 stop. 12wk is +6.8% positive so it is a carried cleanup, not a headline exit (L2 wants neg-12wk); but it has not bounced above stop, so the 07-02 drop-condition is not met. Full exit of at the 07-13 open. |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.50 | SELL ALL | 2.54 | 2.62⚠ | 2.54 (+0.0%) | 2.58 (+1.6%) | 2.63 (+3.5%) | Cleanup carry: AVOID cv62 below stop (2.54 < 2.62), 12wk marginally +3.5% (carried not headline). Bundle the into the REIT-basket market exit at the 07-13 open. |
| A17U | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | 2.52 | SELL ALL | 2.52 | 2.59⚠ | 2.52 (+0.0%) | 2.54 (+0.8%) | 2.58 (+2.4%) | Tiny 400-sh cleanup carry: AVOID cv62 below stop (2.52 < 2.59), MoS -7.86 (GROWTH_PRICED_IN, G2 territory — no amplify), 12wk +2.4%. Full exit at the 07-13 open. |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 43.98 | HOLD | — | 42.54 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Strongest bull print (BUY-ADD cv71, Buy_Rank 1) but RSI 87.6 is extreme into the 07-14 CPI — demote to WATCH per the no-chase/provenance rule and SG-4 (don't chase bank extension; the queued banks keep running away, no_chase_queue counterfactual). Re-arm the ADD on a non-extended (RSI<70) BUY-ADD reprint. |
| M44U | Mapletree Logistics Trust | 1.22 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY cv70 (2 prints) but the quality gate blocks the new entry (Q_Pass=F); flat 12wk (dead forward view) + FailedBreakdown family (L1 discount) + a REIT into the active de-risk theme. No acquire. |
| C38U | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | 2.45 | BUY-STOP | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY-ANTICIPATE cv76 in 3 of the last 3 snapshots (anticipate-eligible on prints) but the quality gate blocks the new entry (Q_Pass=F); MoS -41.4 + a REIT into the de-risk theme (blocked 07-07 too). No anticipate slot. |
| BUOU | Fraser L&C Trust | 0.96 | HOLD | — | 0.94 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Back below stop (0.965 < 0.99) but only AVOID at the settled close (no SELL-REDUCE label), 12wk +1.5% marginal, and MoS -6.03 is the SG-3 REIT-band artifact — do not re-arm on one AVOID print (L4, de-armed yesterday on the bounce; don't sell the whipsaw). Trail 0.94; re-arm -50% on a fresh SELL-REDUCE at settled close or a confirmed neg-12wk. Largest REIT position. |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 70.79 | HOLD | — | 68.45 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Faded to HOLD cv56, RSI 80.1 extended — hold the rate-supported core (SG-4), add only on a non-extended BUY-ADD reprint. Stop 68.45. |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.31 | HOLD | — | 1.27 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD cv47 with a single-day RSI_DIV and MoS -9.58; the §9c elevate would qualify (early-warning + MoS<-3) but G2 suppresses it (GROWTH_PRICED_IN, 12wk 1.32 > DCF 1.13, DCF-unreliable REIT band, SG-3). No trim; watch if RSI_DIV persists and it rolls below stop 1.27. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
80 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.229 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.