Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
RECONCILE (14th cycle): standing REIT de-risk continues, O39 profit-take strengthens, BUOU arm-watch, ACQUIRE NO ACTION
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 5 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.92 | SELL 50% | 1.92 | 1.90 | 1.92 (+0.0%) | 1.96 (+2.1%) | 2.00 (+4.2%) | Standing REIT de-risk continues (14th unexecuted cycle): AVOID cv43 FailedBreakout_Down_20D, close 1.92 below scan-stop 1.95 (Sec9 stop-break), deep-neg MoS -9.48 (SG-3 real signal; +4.2% 12wk is the floor artifact G2 suppresses). Biggest $ REIT ~S gross. Keep 59,179 on trail 1.90 through the MIT 07-21 1Q update; no size re-escalation. L3/L7 (sg parent, execute once). |
| J69U | Frasers Cpt Tr | 2.25 | SELL 50% | 2.25 | 2.19 | 2.25 (+0.0%) | 2.26 (+0.4%) | 2.30 (+2.2%) | Formal STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv27 (SellRank #2) returned from AVOID, FailedBreakout_Down_20D; standing multi-cycle REIT de-risk carried at measured 50%. NA valuation (no amplify). Keep 14,000 on trail 2.19. L7 (sg parent, execute once). |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.78 | SELL 30% | 28.78 | 27.50 | 28.62 (-0.6%) | 28.22 (-1.9%) | 28.90 (+0.4%) | Armed + fired profit-take, thesis strengthened: BUY-ADD cv71 but armed (Avg_Cost 25.93, +11.0%, Gain_ATR 5.12, T12_Prog 99.58%) + fired tick-c (dead 12wk: target 28.90 < 1.02x close 28.78) + RSI 87.0 EXTREME; ran further since 07-15 (28..78). News 'fully valued after +18%/30d surge' confirms. Minimum 30% tier (MoS -0.54 >-3, no bump); ride 700 on a raised trail 27.50. Trade target 31.97 stays the risk objective; 12wk 28.90 > DCF 25.10 (exceeds DCF anchor). ADR-0012 mandatory DISPOSE (not optional). L7 (sg parent, execute once). · news |
| A17U | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | 2.48 | SELL ALL | 2.48 | 2.57⚠ | 2.49 (+0.4%) | 2.50 (+0.8%) | 2.54 (+2.4%) | Odd-lot cleanup carry (below <=3 headline): AVOID cv50 RallySell_BearTrend, close 2.48 below stop 2.55 (monitor breach), deep-neg MoS -7.97 (SG-3)., frees ~S. Bundle with 9CI. scorecard -1. L7. |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.53 | SELL ALL | 2.53 | 2.62⚠ | 2.54 (+0.4%) | 2.57 (+1.6%) | 2.56 (+1.2%) | Odd-lot cleanup carry (below <=3 headline): AVOID cv52 FailedBreakout_Down_20D, close 2.53 below stop 2.62 (monitor breach), MoS -1.68., frees ~S. Bundle with A17U. L7. |
| BUOU | Fraser L&C Trust | 0.96 | NO ACTION | — | 0.94 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.98 | Fresh STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv37 SellRank #1 printed at the settled close (book's stated re-arm trigger), BUT above stop (0.965>0.94) + nominally +12wk (+1.6% artifact) + cv 37 -> SG-2 (ACTIVE) governs: do NOT trim on the label alone. Arm-watch a -50% trim on a confirmed close <0.94 (stop-break) OR a 2nd SELL-REDUCE print. Largest REIT, manual trail 0.94. (07-08 arm was de-armed on the 07-09 whipsaw, L4.) |
| C07 | Jardine C&C | 27.16 | HOLD | — | 27.95⚠ | 27.37 | 27.96 | 29.00 | AVOID cv63 (improving from 46) below stop 27.16<27.95 (monitor breach) BUT UNDERVALUED +0.64 Q=T + 12wk +6.8% -> Sec9: don't cut a cheap, improving name with a strong forward view on a weak AVOID. China Q2 GDP 07-16 catalyst passed., hold, stop 27.95. |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 72.48 | HOLD | — | 69.86 | 72.08 | 72.63 | 76.61 | Faded BUY-ADD cv71 -> NO TRADE cv0 at settled close, RSI 80.6 still hot -> no-chase (SG-4, L4). Hold/WATCH, stop 69.86. |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 43.50 | HOLD | — | 42.94 | 43.58 | 43.58 | 44.85 | Faded HOLD cv61 -> NO TRADE cv0, RSI cooled 84.; MoS -0.65 >-3 -> no trim (G1/G3). Hold/trail 42.94. |
| U13 | UOI Ltd | 8.62 | HOLD | — | 8.31 | 8.62 | 8.61 | 8.70 | Faded STRONG BUY-ADD cv90 -> NO TRADE cv0 (liquidity gate, RSI 77.6, eD extreme prior). No-chase (L4/L6). WATCH, stop 8.31. |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.33 | HOLD | — | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | Faded HOLD cv62 -> NO TRADE cv0. 07-14 buy-limit already withdrawn. Re-arm on a fresh BUY-ADD reprint. Stop 1.28. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
85 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.229 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.