Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
ACQUIRE 1 (J36 QUEUED @64.21 x300) / DISPOSE NO ACTION
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J36 | Jardine Matheson | 65.18 | BUY — QUEUED @64.21 | 64.21 | 61.51 | 65.47 (+2.0%) | 65.99 (+2.8%) | 66.96 (+4.3%) | Jardine Matheson is the first name this book has seen where the trend setup and the valuation both point the same way: it printed a fresh pullback-to-VWAP buy at the settled close (rank #2, conviction rising through the session) while our intrinsic work still marks it undervalued on a passing quality screen — fair value Sand a DCF anchor of Sagainst a Sprice. The Asia-Pacific conglomerate is capital into healthcare with the AU4bn I-Med Radiology acquisition, and an ex-dividend date around 17-18 August rewards getting filled this week. We buy on a small pullback rather than chase: a limit at S, 1.5% under the close, with a stop at S. || Ops: L1-favoured family. val_adj +8 (first positive on this book, MoS +0.392 x 20, Quality_Pass True); size mod 1.25x; adj conv 61+8+0=69 clears the 65 floor. Bias 0 (PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy n=2, report-only, flagged not applied). eD -0.44 -> no-chase -> QUEUED; limit is 0.44 ATR below close, deliberately shallow per the no_chase_queue 'cost' counterfactual. Sizing: 69.18% x 200k x 20% = 27,672; x1.25 = 34,590; Sbinds -> 374.8 -> lot-100 -> = S (80% of book, shared with sgreit/sgmscap/sgotr per L7 - do not re-). expires_on 2026-08-06. Reprice if the 08-04 open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.87 | NO ACTION | 28.44 | 27.72 | 28.80 (+1.3%) | 28.52 (+0.3%) | 28.86 (+1.5%) | OCBC is our best-performing position at +11.3% and has reached its twelve-week price objective, which normally triggers a partial profit-take. We are not taking it yet: the bank reports Q2 results on 7 August, four sessions away, and the shares are holding their uptrend with no lower high and no break of support. Trimming into an earnings date we have no edge on is the wrong trade; instead we raise the protective stop to Sso the gain is defended, and revisit the trim after the print. || Ops: ADR-0012 armed (real Avg_Cost 25.93, Gain_ATR 5.11, T12_Progress 100.03) and FIRED on tick (c) dead 12wk (28.86 < 1.02 x 28.87 = 29.45). Ticks (a) none, (b) cv = -10 (short of -20), (d) none. profit_take_1 30% = S; no valuation tier-bump (MoS -0.625 > -3). BLOCKED by the catalyst-aware hold: Q2 print 2026-08-07 <= 5 sessions, no confirmed lower-high, no stop break (28.87 vs 27.29) - gate-failure path is the trail-raise. G1 n/a (not a fresh breakout at cv>=80); G2/G3 govern the valuation-elevate path only. Stop 27.10 -> 27.72 = chandelier 2.0 x ATR 0.5744. Logged optional so the counterfactual grader prices the deferral. RE-EVALUATE AT THE 2026-08-07 EOD, POST-PRINT. Cross-book: sgotr holds 5,800 of the same share (L7) - one decision governs. |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 74.45 | HOLD | 74.45 | 72.37 | 74.05 (-0.5%) | 76.53 (+2.8%) | 77.32 (+3.9%) | Largest bank holding, stable HOLD all session with a positive twelve-week view. Q2 results land 6 August pre-open, so we hold through the print and raise the stop rather than pre-position. || Ops: stop 70.10 -> 72.37 (model Stop_Price). Catalyst 06-Aug pre-open + ex-div 13-17 Aug (unconfirmed). No sell label; PROFIT_ARMED is spurious (Avg_Cost NA, SG-7). |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 43.04 | HOLD | 43.48 | 41.85 | 43.30 (-0.4%) | 46.18 (+6.2%) | 43.91 (+1.0%) | Core bank position, HOLD all session on the favoured pullback signal with a positive twelve-week view. Q2 results 7 August - hold through, raise the stop. || Ops: stop 41.74 -> 41.85 (model Stop_Price). eD +0.54 (above entry) so no add. SG-4: do not chase the extension; add only on a non-extended BUY-ADD reprint. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
98 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.229 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.