Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
24th cycle: the book buys twice for the first time in its history — 9CI breaks out to STRONG BUY - ADD cv85 at BuyRank #1 on 2.2x volume, and J36's unfilled queue is repriced 64.21 -> 64.30 AND resized down 300 -> after discovering J36 quotes in **USD**, not SGD (yesterday's card overstated the draw by ~28%)
Recommendations
2 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.73 | ADD — QUEUED @2.69 | 2.69 | 2.58 | 2.72 (+1.1%) | 2.75 (+2.2%) | 2.82 (+4.8%) | CapitaLand Investment broke to a fresh 20-day high today, closing at the day's high on more than twice its normal volume - the strongest buy signal this portfolio has produced. We are adding to the existing stake, but buying on a small pullback rather than chasing the close, and keeping the size modest because the shares already trade above what the underlying earnings support and the first-half results are still to come. || Ops: STRONG BUY - ADD cv85 BuyRank #1, conviction 44>0>62>85. Vol 19.8M vs 8.8M (2.2x), close 2.73 at day high, range 2.66-2.73 so the 2.69 limit is inside today's range. val_adj -9 (MoS -1.7572), size mod 0.75x, adj 76. Quality gate F but ADD to a held name so it does not bind. eD -0.72 + RSI 77.3 = one leg of the CLAUDE.md 9 wait-for-pullback bar, not both - hence QUEUED not market. L1: breakout family, answered by the below-close limit. BreakoutUp_20D|buy has no sg cell (n=0) - report-only. Sizing 114.38% x 2000 = 2287.6 x 0.75 = 1715.7 -> lot-100 -> = SStop raised 2.53 -> 2.58, risk S12wk 2.82 exceeds DCF anchor 0.9466 - projection assumes growth beyond priced-in. CLI 1H2026 print pending and undated, outside the horizon window - reason to size small, not to block. · news |
| J36 | Jardine Matheson | 64.98 | BUY — QUEUED @64.30 | 64.30 | 61.76 | 65.29 (+1.5%) | 65.68 (+2.1%) | 66.67 (+3.7%) | Jardine Matheson is the one name in this portfolio trading meaningfully below what its own earnings power is worth, and it has pulled back into our preferred buy setup rather than running away from it. A USdividend goes ex on 20 August, so a fill this week collects it. We are buying a smaller stake than yesterday's plan because the shares are quoted in US dollars, which we had not accounted for. || Ops: SUPERSEDES the 08-03 GTC @64.21 x300 on BOTH price and size. Provenance: repriced 64.21 -> live Entry_Price 64.30. Old limit never filled and never touched - today's low was 64.84. FX DEFECT CORRECTED: J36 quotes in USD (yfinance currency USD, fairvalue Price_Currency USD); the 08-03 card booked 300 x 64.21 as 'S' when it was US = Sat 1.28343 = 103% of the Spowder. Resized: after 9CI takes SSremains / Sper share = 236 -> lot-100 -> = US = Scv61 + val_adj 8 = adj 69. UNDERVALUED, Quality_Pass True, F_Score 6, EPV 105.40 vs price 64.11, DCF 132.13. L1-favoured PullbackBuy_VWAP; cell n=2 report-only. eD -0.33 -> no-chase -> queued. Stop 61.76, risk US = SNo DCF annotation - 12wk 66.67 well below the 132.13 anchor. L7: shared with sgreit/sgmscap/sgotr - do not re-. · news |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.72 | NO ACTION | 28.57 | 27.72 | 28.59 (+0.1%) | 28.44 (-0.5%) | 28.59 (+0.1%) | OCBC is our most profitable position and the model wants to bank roughly a third of the gain, but the bank reports half-year results in three sessions. Selling into a scheduled result is how you give up the upside and keep the risk, so we hold through the print and let the stop do the work instead. || Ops: profit-take FIRED 2nd straight session and DEFERRED by the catalyst-aware hold. Armed genuinely (SG-7): real Avg_Cost 25.93, Gain_ATR 5.28, Unreal_PnL +10.75%, T12_Progress 100.45. Tick (c) dead 12wk fires: Target_12Week 28.59 < 1.02 x 28.72 = 29.29. Ticks (a) none, (b) cv unchanged, (d) none. 1 tick -> profit_take_1 30% = SNo valuation bump (MoS -0.625, not <= -3). Blocked: OCBC Q2 2026 on 2026-08-07, 3 sessions out, no lower-high, no stop break (28.72 vs 27.72). Trail-raise is a NO-OP and must be stated: chandelier 2.0 x ATR 0.5275 below 28.72 = 27.665, BELOW the existing 27.72 - a trail never ratchets down, so the stop is HELD at 27.72. Re-evaluates at the 2026-08-07 EOD post-print. NOT an SG-8 stall - affirmatively blocked with a fixed expiry. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
98 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.229 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.