Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| C38U | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | 2.45 | BUY-STOP | 2.48 | 2.36 | 2.56 (+3.2%) | 2.74 (+10.5%) | 2.61 (+5.2%) | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr re-armed hard today, printing its strongest signal of the window - a BUY - ANTICIPATE at conviction 78 on a volatility-contraction setup (Trend 85, Regime Transitional), with a positive 12-week view (2.61 vs 2.47 close) and an entry that is not extended. It is the first candidate this book has seen whose fused conviction clears the 65 floor (adj 68 = 78 raw - 10 valuation), but we are standing aside: the anticipation slot demands the pattern print in at least 2 of the last 3 sessions and this is only (WATCH 53 -> NO TRADE 0 -> ANTICIPATE 78), and the identical one-off ANTICIPATE on 07-10 decayed to AVOID within two sessions - exactly the whipsaw the rule filters. The valuation screen also fails it outright (MoS_FV -42.59, Quality_Pass False), though that reading is a known REIT miscalibration rather than a real verdict on the trust. Operational: not an ACQUIRE-pool label by definition (Step 5), so adj 68 cannot claim an acquire slot; hard quality gate blocks new entries independently; PROPOSED PR-6/PR-7 inert, not applied. Re-arm: a 2nd BUY - ANTICIPATE or outright BUY print within 2 sessions at conv >= 55 satisfies >=2-of-3, leaving the quality gate as the sole blocker (needs Quality_Pass=True or a REIT-aware FFO/DPU gate fix); would then queue as a GTC buy-stop @ 2.48 at 0.5x size (MoS_FV <= -3). Ledgered direction=none optional (ref entry 2.48) to grade the decline. Fairvalue regenerated this run (was 8d stale); 1wk uses f=0.30 (L5, calib_1w degenerate). 12wk 2.61 exceeds DCF anchor 1.53 - projection assumes growth beyond priced-in. |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.35 | NO ACTION | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.35 (+0.7%) | 1.38 (+3.0%) | 1.35 (+0.7%) | Mapletree PanAsia partially recovered from yesterday's dead NO TRADE print back to a WATCH at conviction 63, but the bounce comes on the least reliable setup family we track (a failed-breakdown reversal, which this book's playbook discounts on principle) and the risk geometry is unworkable: the model's own entry (1.34) sits a single cent above its stop (1.33), leaving no room to be wrong, with momentum already extended (RSI 68.1) and a near-flat 12-week view (1.35 vs 1.34). Declining a fourth straight session. Operational: adj conv 53 (63 raw + val_adj -10, MoS_FV -9.99) fails the 65 floor; WATCH is not a bullish actionable label regardless; stop distance 0.45x ATR; quality-gated (QP False, new entry). Week trail: STRONG BUY 81 (07-14) -> BUY 62 (07-15) -> NO TRADE 0 (07-16) -> WATCH 63 (07-17) - a weaker case than the one declined all week. Re-arm on the L1-favored PullbackBuy_VWAP family clearing conv 65 with a real stop, PLUS Quality_Pass=True (or a REIT-aware gate fix) OR a non-negative 12wk. Ledgered direction=none optional (ref entry 1.34) to continue grading the decline. |
| — | AI SG REITs book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action for a 13th straight session - the book stays fully in cash at SGD 2,000,000. There is nothing to sell (no positions) and nothing clears the bar to buy: the only bullish signal in the book, CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr, is a first-print anticipation setup that our rules require to repeat before we act on it, and it fails the valuation screen besides. Every other REIT prints avoid, watch, or no-trade. Waiting costs nothing here and the discipline is grading well - declines have saved a median +0.83% over one week across 10 samples. Operational: buy pool empty of actionable labels; C38U adj 68 clears the 65 floor but fails >=2-of-3 anticipate eligibility + hard quality gate (QP False); N2IU adj 53 below floor on an L1-discounted family with a 1-cent stop. Fairvalue regenerated this run (was 8d stale, FetchedAt 07-17) - no structural change. Overlay 12d stale; scorecard graded=0, calib_1w degenerate -> f=0.30. Next BOD re-evaluates against the Mon 2026-07-20 open. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.