Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| C38U | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | 2.45 | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | 2.58 | The book's best candidate of the fortnight stays dead. CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr prints no-trade at zero conviction for a second consecutive session on consensus conflict, with the price unmoved at 2.45; the 12-week view is still constructive at 2.58 but there is no signal to act on. We decline again - and the original decline is now vindicated rather than merely asserted: Friday's conviction-78 anticipation print evaporated inside one session, the second time in ten sessions this name has done exactly that. Operational: anticipate-slot eligibility 0-of-3; NoTrade_Reason 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'; the hard quality gate (QP False, MoS_FV -42.59) stands as the second blocker, treated as non-informative per SGR-1 but still hard-applied. Re-arm unchanged: >=2 ANTICIPATE/BUY prints within 3 sessions at conv >=55, after which the gate is the sole blocker. Horizon: 1H FY2026 results 2026-08-03. |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.27 | NO ACTION | 2.27 | 2.26 | n/a | 2.33 (+2.6%) | 2.17 (-4.4%) | Frasers Centrepoint's tentative recovery has already stalled. The watch-grade signal fades from conviction on the least reliable setup family we track - a failed-breakdown reversal - while the 12-week view stays negative (2.17 against a 2.27 close) and the model's own stop sits a single cent below its entry, leaving no room to be wrong. No case to initiate, and the trust reports its 3Q business update on 07-24, an event to see through rather than buy into. Operational: adj 44 (val NA -> val_adj 0, gate off, bias 0) is far below the 65 floor; WATCH is not a bullish actionable label; L1-discounted family; SGR-2 demotes independently on the negative 12wk; stop distance 0.36x ATR. Re-arm: non-negative 12wk plus a confirming BUY print from a non-FailedBreakdown family clearing conv 65. Ledgered direction=none optional (ref entry 2.27) to grade the decline. |
| — | AI SG REITs book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action for a 15th straight session - the book stays fully in cash at SGD 2,000,000. There is nothing to sell (no positions) and nothing worth buying: not one of the eight REITs prints a bullish actionable signal, and both watch-grade names weakened again today (Frasers Centrepoint, Mapletree PanAsia. What did strengthen is the bearish side - the avoid-rated names firmed materially (Frasers L&C, Mapletree Industrial, CapitaLand Ascendas even as their prices ticked up, which reads as distribution into strength rather than a base forming. With all eight names reporting inside the next nine sessions plus an FOMC on 07-30 and an MAS policy statement on or before 07-31, staying out is also the event-consistent posture. Operational: buy pool empty (2 x WATCH, 5 x AVOID, 1 x NO TRADE); anticipate slot not filled (no ANTICIPATE row, C38U 0-of-3). Fairvalue FRESH (FetchedAt 07-17, 4d, no regeneration). Overlay WEEK 07-05, 16d stale. Scorecard entries=23 graded=0 calib_1w=None -> f=0.30 (L5), no actionable cells; counterfactuals n=12 optional declines, median withheld 1wk +0.42%, verdict saved. This run also backfilled the missing 2026-07-20 ledger line and refreshed _state.json, which the prior run left at the 07-17 anchor. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.