Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C38U | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | 2.47 | NO ACTION | 2.47 | 2.44 | n/a | 2.55 (+3.2%) | 2.61 (+5.7%) | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr finally prints a bullish signal - a conviction-78 buy with a constructive 12-week view of 2.61 against a 2.47 close - and it is still not one we act on. The setup is a failed-breakdown reversal, the least reliable family we track, and this exact name has round-tripped from high conviction to zero inside a single session twice in eleven sessions, so a lone print earns no benefit of the doubt. Even after adjusting to 68 (clearing the 65 floor), the intrinsic-value screen fails outright and hard-blocks a new position. We decline and wait for confirmation. Operational: adj = 78 val_adj -10 (MoS_FV -42.59) bias 0 = 68 >= floor, but QUALITY GATE QP False (F-Score/FCF screen failed) hard-blocks the new entry; SGR-3 single-print rule and L1 chase-family discount independently hold. RSI 65.9 not extended, entry=close 2.47, distATR ~0. Re-arm: a confirming 2nd bullish print at conv >=65 within 3 sessions, after which QP False (SGR-1, treated non-informative but hard-applied) is the sole blocker. Horizon: 1H FY2026 results 2026-08-03. |
| BUOU | Frasers L&C Trust | 0.98 | NO ACTION | 0.98 | 0.94 | n/a | 1.07 (+9.2%) | 0.95 (-3.1%) | Frasers L&C Trust flips in a single session from the book's highest-conviction bearish read (avoid, 68) to a bullish anticipation print at conviction 72 - precisely the unstable one-day pivot our anticipate rule is built to filter. It is only one anticipation print in the last three sessions where we require two, its own 12-week view is negative at 0.95 against a 0.975 close, and after the valuation penalty it adjusts to 62, below the 65 floor. No position. Operational: anticipate slot INELIGIBLE (1-of-3, need >=2); SGR-2 negative 12wk demote; val_adj -10 (MoS_FV -6.07) -> adj 62 < floor. QP True (would clear the gate on a qualifying print). Re-arm: a 2nd ANTICIPATE/BUY print within 3 sessions at conv >=55 AND a non-negative 12wk, queued then as a GTC buy-stop at the then-current Entry_Price, 0.5x size. Horizon: SG June CPI 07-23, FOMC 07-30, MAS <=07-31. |
| — | AI SG REITs book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action for a 16th straight session - the book stays fully in cash at SGD 2,000,000. Nothing to sell (no positions) and nothing clears the bar to buy: the sleeve turned choppy today and produced its first bullish flicker of the fortnight, but neither name qualifies. CapitaLand Integrated flipped to a conviction-78 buy that adjusts above the floor yet is hard-blocked by the intrinsic-value quality gate and is an unconfirmed single print on the least reliable setup family; Frasers L&C flipped to a bullish anticipation that is only one print of the required two and carries a negative 12-week view. With all eight names reporting inside eight sessions plus FOMC 07-30 and an MAS policy statement by 07-31, waiting for confirmation between events is the event-consistent posture. Operational: buy pool = 1 BUY blocked (C38U), 1 ANTICIPATE ineligible (BUOU 1-of-3), 4 AVOID, 2 NO TRADE; anticipate slot not filled. Fairvalue FRESH (07-17, 5d, no regen). Overlay WEEK 07-05, 17d stale. Scorecard entries=23 graded=0 calib_1w=None -> f=0.30 (L5), no actionable cells; counterfactuals n=12, median withheld 1wk +0.42%, verdict saved. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.