US — End-of-Day Verdict
DISPOSE: NVDA 531@195.55 (strong-sell x4 + neg-12wk) + GOOGL 30@366.46 (fired profit-take). ACQUIRE: TSM 56@451.79 market + SNOW 140@242.58 queued (exp 07-09). AMD queue withdrawn. NBIS watch. SPCX muted (Aug lock-up concern).
Recommendations
2 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 195.55 | SELL 88.52% | 195.55 | 207.68⚠ | n/a | n/a | 168.00 (-14.1%) | Trim NVDA hard: the signal has printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE for 4 straight snapshots with a negative 12-week outlook (target 168 vs 195.55 close), and the news is structural not panic - a sector-wide chip selloff plus the Kyber NVL144 rack slipping to 2028 and hyperscalers building custom silicon. Stable strong-sell + neg-12wk is the valid trend exit (L2), unaffected by trim gates; the position is also PROFIT_ARMED. Keep 69, invalidate above 207.68. Closes the NVDA NO-TRADE bleed (US-1). · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. Class A | 366.46 | SELL 30% | 366.46 | 344.08 | 373.17 (+1.8%) | 388.84 (+6.1%) | 351.16 (-4.2%) | Take a 30-share profit tick on GOOGL: the position is PROFIT_ARMED (104% of the 12wk target) and the forward view has gone dead (12wk 351 sits below the 366 close), which fires profit_take_1 (30%). News is neutral - the EUR4.1B EU Android fine upheld 07-02 is priced and Q1 was strong. The overlay explicitly sanctions exactly this tick and says trail (not pre-trim) through the 07-22 earnings. Keep 70, trail stop 344.08. G2 suppresses valuation amplify (T12>>DCF) but the profit-take fire is independent of G2. · news |
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 262.09 | BUY — QUEUED @242.58 | 242.58 | 228.33 | 251.14 (+3.5%) | 271.12 (+11.8%) | 373.48 (+54.0%) | Queue SNOW on a pullback: it sits on the book's most reliable buy cell (PullbackBuy_VWAP, +6 bias, ~86% hit - L1/US-2) as a fresh STRONG BUY cv74, and the fundamentals confirm - Q1 revenue +34%, FY27 guide raised to, a new AWS deal, analyst targets -370. Price (262) is extended 1.6 ATR above the model pullback entry, so this is a GTC buy-limit at 242.58 that only fills on the dip (no-chase). Repriced from the lapsed 07-03 @266.58 queue to the live model entry (provenance). The 12wk 373 exceeds the DCF anchor 112 (growth-priced). · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg | 451.79 | BUY | 451.79 | 438.91 | 467.25 (+3.4%) | 503.31 (+11.4%) | 538.11 (+19.1%) | Buy TSM at market: a fresh STRONG BUY cv76 that survives the FailedBreakdown -7 scorecard haircut (adj 69) on genuine strength - RSI 54.6 (not extended), right at entry, top-quality F-Score 9, and the news is unambiguously bullish (Barclays Overweight PT raised, Strong Buy 13/17, customer price hikes on ~3/4 of wafer revenue, 3nm expansion). Staged 0.75x into the 07-08 FOMC minutes per the overlay's 'no new leverage into the print'; earnings 07-16 - trail through. Stop 438.91. · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 233.31 | HOLD | 233.31 | 220.31 | n/a | n/a | 332.47 (+42.5%) | Hold KLAC: recovered to 233 (above the reset stop 220.31), HOLD label, +33% cost cushion and +42% 12wk view. The 07-03 stop-break sell is stood down (name recovered). Conviction is soft (36) - watch, but no signal-based sell basis. |
| MU | Micron Technology | 984.75 | HOLD | 984.75 | 936.75 | n/a | n/a | 1403.27 (+42.5%) | Hold MU: HOLD cv54 recovering, +15% on cost, +42% 12wk view, above stop 936.75. No sell basis. |
| NBIS | Nebius Group | 213.02 | HOLD | 213.02 | 199.61 | n/a | n/a | 289.91 (+36.1%) | Hold NBIS on watch: 4 consecutive NO TRADE (consensus conflict + low conviction) but breakeven (+0.67%), above stop, +36% 12wk - the L2 exit combo (stop-break AND neg-12wk) is NOT met and it was already de-risked. Watch; the overlay override invalidates only if the Meta deal is materially at risk. |
| GLW | Corning Inc. | 194.80 | HOLD | 194.80 | 182.50 | n/a | n/a | 267.19 (+37.2%) | Hold GLW: small -2.4% loss, HOLD, above stop 182.50, +37% 12wk view. Soft conviction (42) - watch, no sell basis. |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corp | 1744.43 | HOLD | 1744.43 | 1714.11 | n/a | n/a | 2485.81 (+42.5%) | Hold SNDK starter : HOLD cv57 on PullbackBuy, close 1744 near stop 1714 - monitor, +42% 12wk view. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1200.06 | HOLD | 1200.06 | 1180.30 | n/a | n/a | 1533.95 (+27.8%) | Hold LLY: 4x NO TRADE but RSI 64 healthy uptrend, +28% 12wk; close 1200 near stop 1180 - monitor. Overlay invalidation is a close below 975. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech | — | HOLD | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hold SPCX muted (private, no public quote - absent from scan). News CONCERN/WATCH: 13T + Nasdaq-100 inclusion, but a August lock-up expiration overhang and unproven Starship in-orbit refuel + regulatory delay risk. Ives bull vs -160 bear year-end. Hold on manual stop; the Aug lock-up is the forward de-risk trigger. Auto-unmute when it appears in the scan CSV with a non-null Close. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
59 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.132 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
23 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.