US — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACQUIRE (buy pool 4/5 PullbackBuy_VWAP but all quality-gate-killed Q_Pass False; SNOW adj69 top near-miss). ANTICIPATE: AAPL QUEUED-ANTICIPATE buy-stop @335.48 0.25x (cv73, relative strength, expires 07-22). DISPOSE: GLW 150/150 FULL EXIT @~154.61 (stable bearish + decisive 165 break + downgrade, -22% loser); SNDK 8/15 @~1354.82 (profit_take_2 armed 117% + dead 12wk + 2x NO-TRADE; keep 7 trail 1300); NVDA 30/100 @~202.81 (profit_take_1 armed 100% + dead forward, US-19 first-fire; keep 70 trail 197). NBIS 07-17 trim WITHDRAWN (bounced +3.5% to NO-TRADE close, +29.6% fwd, above EMA200 -> hold 300 stop 152). Holds: GOOGL stop 345 catalyst-hold 07-22; KLAC trail 210.15 catalyst-hold 07-23; LLY 1106; MU 855 #1 watch; SPCX muted 135. Washout stabilizing -> cut the loser fully, bank two rolling winners with dead 12wk forwards, hold the rest through the 07-22/23 catalyst cluster, plant a tiny strength-gated anticipate. Net + cash raised.
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple | 333.74 | BUY-STOP — QUEUED @335.48 | 335.48 | 311.42 | 336.31 (+0.2%) | 335.84 (+0.1%) | 340.94 (+1.6%) | Tiny strength-gated anticipation entry: AAPL is the board's relative-strength standout (RSI 71.6 near 52W highs, VCP breakout) while AI-hardware chopped, printing BUY-ANTICIPATE cv73 at both the Thu and Fri settled closes. Self-limiting buy-stop @335.48 (above close) fills only on confirmed strength; sized 0.25x normal (0.5x anticipate x 0.5 MoS-mod, MoS -3.02) into a still-fragile tape. Quality-passes (F=9). Eligibility read off consecutive settled closes (L4/US-7); expires 07-22. Trade risk objective 383.61, stop 311.42. |
| GLW | Corning | 154.61 | SELL ALL | 154.61 | — | 158.28 (+2.4%) | 156.08 (+1.0%) | 163.36 (+5.7%) | Full exit of a broken -22.5% loser: stable active RallySell_BearTrend (AVOID) across 4 consecutive snapshots, a decisive close below the 165 reset stop (-6.3%), below EMA100, and a still-live double-downgrade-to-sell. A stable-bearish + decisive-stop exit; the estimator's +5.7% Est_12W lags the multi-session breakdown (systemic #4), so this is a signal/stop exit not a forward call. Trim-discipline G-gates don't apply (they protect uptrending winners; GLW is a downtrending loser). Proceeds qty_after 0. L2/L3/US-17. |
| SNDK | Sandisk | 1354.82 | SELL 50% | 1354.82 | 1300.00 | 1424.05 (+5.1%) | 1374.69 (+1.5%) | 1156.99 (-14.6%) | ADR-0012 profit-take (profit_take_2, 50%): PROFIT_ARMED at 117% of the 12-week target with 2 deterioration ticks -- a dead 12wk forward (Est_12W 1156.99, -14.6%, exceeds DCF anchor 1005.14) and 2 consecutive settled NO-TRADE prints. The self-set 1300 trail is intact, so this is a pure armed+2-tick fire. Banks half of a large winner where the model now sees 12wk downside while the HBM/NAND supercycle stays intact (above EMA100/200) -- keep, trail 1300. Valuation-amplify G2-suppressed (DCF << T12, hyper-growth). Proceeds L3/US-13/US-19. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 202.81 | SELL 30% | 202.81 | 197.00 | 202.70 (-0.1%) | 201.96 (-0.4%) | 202.02 (-0.4%) | ADR-0012 profit-take (profit_take_1, 30%): PROFIT_ARMED at 100% of target with tick (c) a flat/dead forward (Est_1W/4W/12W all -0.4%, exceeds DCF 163.98). US-19 first-fire 30% (the same never-executed trim carried from 07-16/17, repriced 207..81) -- not an escalation. Signal recovered to HOLD FailedBreakdown_Up cv61 and the 07-22 SK-Hynix/GOOGL-capex read-through argues to hold the majority through the catalyst -> keep, trail 197. Banks part at target where 12wk upside is exhausted. Proceeds L3/US-19. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet A | 346.77 | HOLD | — | 345.00 | 350.74 | 358.39 | 367.85 | Catalyst-hold through 07-22 Q2 earnings (2 sessions). NO TRADE cv0 (from AVOID cv53) is the engine quieting (US-17 NoTrade|sell -6 premature) with forward +6.1% alive and no decisive break (346.77 > 345 hard line / EMA100 / EMA200); do not pre-trim into earnings (US-18). A close <345 is the decisive exit even through the catalyst. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 212.75 | HOLD | — | 210.15 | 214.27 | 213.84 | 220.01 | Hold +21% winner; armed (T12_prog 96.7%) with 4x NO-TRADE cv0 (mechanical tick d) but forward +3.4% alive -- the NO-TRADE-cv0 is an artifact (US-17/systemic#3), do not fire. Q4 earnings 07-23 -> catalyst-hold-through, trail 210.15 (close 212.75 above it). |
| LLY | Eli Lilly | 1179.11 | HOLD | — | 1106.00 | 1183.75 | 1210.20 | 1240.81 | Hold; conviction IMPROVING (FailedBreakdown_Up), armed (T12_prog 95%), forward +5.2% alive (Est_12W 1240.81). Keep the higher of chandelier 1104.43 / manual 1106; overlay hard invalidation 975. |
| MU | Micron | 848.95 | HOLD | — | 855.00⚠ | 848.75 | 887.10 | 885.92 | #1 watch: marginal stop breach for a 2nd consecutive session (848.95 < 855, -0.71%; Thu 853.20 also <855) -- US-12 holds marginal sector breaches. Near breakeven (-0.81%), forward positive (Est_4W +4.5%, Est_12W +4.4%), >> EMA100/200 (long-term uptrend intact), HBM-sold-out thesis unbroken, 07-22 SK-Hynix read-through 2 sessions out. Decisive-exit line: a close < ~845 OR an HBM crack. Scan stop 1008.97 degenerate (systemic #2) -> manual 855. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | — | HOLD | — | 135.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Muted-private (no public quote, absent from scan) -> held on the manual 135 stop, news-assessed only. News CONCERN unchanged: insider lock-up overhang (first ~20% frees after Q2 results late July, ~7% tranches monthly Aug-Oct). Auto-unmute when it prints a non-null Close in the scan. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
80 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.071 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
23 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.