Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 169.03 | SELL 65% | 169.03 | 184.14⚠ | 166.91 (-1.3%) | 171.30 (+1.3%) | 197.89 (+17.1%) | SK hynix has now closed 8.2% under its 184.14 stop and slipped again on a day chips rebounded, so the pre-committed escalation fires on top of the unexecuted 30% cut. Fair value (UNDERVALUED) and a JPM Overweight keep a 70-share core. Operational: carried 10-08 SELL 60 (stop basis) + written escalation SELL 70 on a settled close <=169.04 fired at 169.03 (us_signals_20261010_060012.csv; US-88 trigger authority, by - stated). If the 10-08 SELL 60 already filled at the 10-09 open (~172.68, status UNKNOWN), sell only the 70. Sector-flush rule (US-12/US-22) keeps the core; L2 not met (12wk +17.1%). Q3 print 10-27 is 12 sessions out, outside the US-EOQ-1 window. Line 184.14 held, never lowered (US-58). · news |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 360.93 | SELL 30% | 360.93 | 336.93 | 362.88 (+0.5%) | 373.85 (+3.6%) | 404.83 (+12.2%) | Cloudflare ran +5.6% to 360.93 on an armed +31.6% gain, and the scan printed an RSI divergence, a profit-take signal. Bank another 30% and let ride the AI-traffic story (Oppenheimer PT 430). Operational: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 5.55) + tick (a) RSI_DIV (Tier-1); HOLD cv63 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D is not a fresh breakout >=80, so no G1 downgrade. New tick after the 10-06 executed cut (@360), so it is a fresh basis, not US-19 escalation. MoS -10.59 bump G2-suppressed (DCF, EPV negative; US-53). Residual 98 on 336.93. · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 195.57 | NO ACTION | 191.89 | 194.81 | n/a | 199.11 (+3.8%) | 194.22 (+1.2%) | Written L2 trigger: SELL (30%) on a decisive settled close <=191.89 (1.5% under the 194.81 trail) with the 12wk negative, on us_signals_20261013_06001x..20261015_06001x.csv; lapses after the 20261015 EOD. Close 195.57 (+0.39% over the line); 12wk 194.22 (-0.69%). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 229.28 | NO ACTION | 229.28 | 228.72 | n/a | 237.89 (+3.8%) | 249.95 (+9.0%) | 3rd consecutive NO TRADE cv0 (tick d, mildly corroborated: -0.52%, RSI on a T12-limb arm (91.7) with blank Avg_Cost in input/usportfolio.json -> deferred fire (US-55/US-66). Close 229.28 is +0.24% over 228.72; decisive <=225.29. 12wk +9.0% alive. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 535.07 | NO ACTION | 511.57 | 497.33 | 537.00 (+5.0%) | 550.55 (+7.6%) | 576.70 (+12.7%) | Strongest buy print (STRONG BUY cv95, adj 82, quality PASS) but the 511.57 limit is 1.91 ATR under the 535.07 close (US-54 -> WATCH, not a queue), the trail is a flip-flop (SB88->B68->NT0->SB95), and US-56 still vetoes acquires. Re-arm only if a settled file prints a buy trigger with entry within 1.5 ATR. |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 209.05 | NO ACTION | 204.58 | 182.23 | 209.70 (+2.5%) | 214.03 (+4.6%) | 219.19 (+7.1%) | STRONG BUY cv88 (4th bullish print) clears the US-16 chase floor but RSI 76.3 > 75 with the entry 0.62 ATR under the close (no-chase) and a buy-stop printed below the close (US-64 order inversion); US-56 veto. BreakoutUp_20D|buy is -10 (hit_4w.0). |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1179.27 | HOLD | 1179.27 | 1131.95 | n/a | 1216.80 (+3.2%) | 1261.95 (+7.0%) | HOLD cv59 -> cv68 (family PullbackBuy -> FailedBreakdown_Up); 12wk +7.0%. 10-08 deferred tick-b basis gone; T12-limb arm on blank cost declined (US-55). Line 1131.95. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1029.00 | HOLD | 1029.00 | 1022.05 | n/a | 1043.93 (+1.5%) | 1097.70 (+6.7%) | Armed (Gain_ATR 3.76) but no tick: cv61 -> is -19 (same family, under the 20-pt tick b), 12wk +6.7%, no warning. Close +0.68% over 1022.05; decisive <=1006.72. Chandelier 938.76 below the line - not lowered. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 351.66 | HOLD | 351.66 | 342.20 | n/a | 364.34 (+3.6%) | 369.97 (+5.2%) | HOLD cv57, 12wk +5.2%, UNDERVALUED; no tick. Blank cost declines the T12 arm (US-55). Line 342.20. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 162.57 | HOLD | 162.57 | 156.54 | n/a | 171.52 (+5.5%) | 186.07 (+14.5%) | BUY-ADD cv74 -> NO TRADE cv0 (a label crossing, not a tick). Held through the 10-09 lock-up rung (+1.25%). 12wk +14.5%. Line 156.54; next rung 10-24. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
285 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.