Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 355.03 | HOLD | — | 343.00 | n/a | n/a | 339.24 | Alphabet flags a fresh STRONG SELL-REDUCE but at only cv38 on the FailedBreakout_Down_20D cell that has graded 0% reliable in this book (bias -10); the position is flat ( -0.3%), the 12wk is only marginally soft and there is no stop breach, and valuation is GROWTH_PRICED_IN (amplify-only, cannot originate a sell). The overlay override forces a hold into the 07-22 Q2 earnings. HOLD, keep the 343 stop. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 357.18 | HOLD | — | 345.00 | n/a | n/a | 341.88 | Same STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv38 as GOOG on the 0%-reliable FailedBreakout_Down_20D cell; flat (-0.8%), no stop breach. The standing news override (Dow inclusion + Cloud +48%, backlog) says hold and trail the 345 stop through the 07-22 earnings — a news-override hold on top of the signal haircut. A trim would dump of the mega-cap core the overlay says to ride. HOLD. |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines | 87.39 | HOLD | 88.42 | 84.69 | n/a | n/a | 112.21 (+26.9%) | The 07-09 withheld PullbackBuy add (held back for the 07-10 Q2 earnings, L6) resolved at the post-earnings settled close as HOLD cv62 — below the 65 floor and not a re-armed BUY-ADD. No add. Re-arm only on a fresh PullbackBuy_VWAP BUY-ADD with adj conv >=65 on a pullback to entry ~88.42. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 60.54 | HOLD | — | 56.51 | n/a | n/a | 45.91 | Stable STRONG SELL-REDUCE with a negative 12wk, but only a 219-sh residual after prior reduces and on the 0%-reliable FailedBreakout_Down cell (KR itself rose +4% after a prior REDUCE). Immaterial — hold on chandelier stop 56.51 rather than churn a sliver. |
| STZ | Constellation Brands | 134.06 | HOLD | — | 122.68 | n/a | n/a | 100.15 | Stable STRONG SELL-REDUCE, negative 12wk, but a 23-sh residual on the -10 sell cell. Immaterial — hold on stop 122.68. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
9 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
18 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.