Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 325.25 | SELL 30% | 325.25 | 320.41 | 321.27 (-1.2%) | 311.98 (-4.1%) | 285.44 (-12.2%) | Chubb closed decisively below its stop (325.25 vs the 331.74 rung, -1.34 ATR) on a second straight NO TRADE print with a -12% 12-week view, which is an L2 exit basis; UNDERVALUED valuation argues the trim down one tier from 50% to 30%. L2 decisive break (>=0.4 ATR); balance re-based rung 320.41 (close - 1 ATR); Q3 earnings 10-20 is outside the 5-session window. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 86.08 | SELL 30% | 86.08 | 85.95 | 85.82 (-0.3%) | 85.21 (-1.0%) | 83.46 (-3.0%) | Coca-Cola is profit-armed (T12 progress 103%) and printed a second consecutive NO TRADE, firing the pre-committed profit-take; the 12-week view (83.46) sits below the close. Profit-take armed + tick (d) (fresh) + tick (c) (persistent, not counted) -> 30% profit_take_1; MoS -2.08 no tier bump; 12wk exceeds DCF anchor 53.97; balance on the 85.95 rung. · news |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 204.21 | SELL 30% | 204.21 | 200.47 | 204.96 (+0.4%) | 206.70 (+1.2%) | 211.67 (+3.7%) | Chevron (+14% on cost, profit-armed) fired a profit-take yesterday on two straight NO TRADE prints but lost its slot to the cap; today it turned bearish (AVOID 51 FailedBreakout_Down) and closed -1.03 ATR below its 208.07 trail, so the carried-forward 30% trim executes. 12wk still +3.7%, so no L2 full exit; balance re-based rung 200.47 (hard 196.13). · news |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 97.25 | NO ACTION | 97.25 | 94.35 | 96.07 (-1.2%) | 93.32 (-4.0%) | 85.46 (-12.1%) | Liberty Live C printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE 61 (RallySell_BearTrend, +5 cell -> adj 66) after AVOID 62; still above the 94.35 rung. Displaced by the cap; 50% ~=. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 94.64 | NO ACTION | 94.64 | 93.73 | 93.62 (-1.1%) | 91.26 (-3.6%) | 84.49 (-10.7%) | Liberty Live A printed its first STRONG SELL - REDUCE 62 (adj 67), above the 93.73 rung. Displaced by the cap; 50% ~=. |
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 193.07 | NO ACTION | 193.07 | 195.24⚠ | 189.42 (-1.9%) | 180.91 (-6.3%) | 156.58 (-18.9%) | Capital One: SSR 65 (adj) with the close 0.50 ATR under the 195.24 rung and a -19% 12wk (L2 decisive). Displaced by the cap; full exit ~=; leads the next EOD. |
| NYT | New York Times Co Cl A | 63.70 | NO ACTION | 63.70 | 65.37⚠ | 62.15 (-2.4%) | 58.54 (-8.1%) | 48.21 (-24.3%) | New York Times: 4th straight SSR (69, Sell_Rank 1), -0.64 ATR under 65.37 with -24% 12wk (L2). Displaced for the 6th time; full exit ~=. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 233.75 | NO ACTION | 233.75 | 237.62⚠ | 230.52 (-1.4%) | 222.97 (-4.6%) | 201.42 (-13.8%) | Nucor: close -0.55 ATR under the 237.62 rung with a -14% 12wk (L2) though the label flipped to HOLD 57 ReversalUp. Displaced; balance ~=. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 282.01 | NO ACTION | 282.01 | 274.50 | 280.90 (-0.4%) | 278.29 (-1.3%) | 270.86 (-4.0%) | VeriSign: armed (+10%) + 2nd consecutive NO TRADE = tick (d); trimmed 30% on 09-30 open. Displaced; 30% ~=. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 333.02 | HOLD | — | 328.21 | n/a | n/a | 360.38 | Apple prints HOLD 69 with conviction rising; armed without a tick, so the trail stays at 328.21 (close +0.64 ATR above). |
| BAC | Bank of America Corp | 54.43 | HOLD | — | 54.75⚠ | n/a | n/a | 39.94 | Bank of America closed 0.31 ATR under its 54.75 rung (AVOID 43, -27% 12wk) - a graze, not decisive; a close below 54.34 (-0.4 ATR) is an L2 exit. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 344.08 | HOLD | — | 333.48 | n/a | n/a | 317.36 | Alphabet A was halved at the 09-30 open; the SSR faded to NO TRADE and the close is well above the 333.48 rung. Hold. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 340.74 | HOLD | — | 330.07 | n/a | n/a | 311.97 | Alphabet C was halved at the 09-30 open; NO TRADE now, above the 330.07 rung. Hold. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 58.62 | HOLD | — | 57.73 | n/a | n/a | 56.86 | Kroger collapsed HOLD 85 -> NO TRADE (tick b) on an armed +0.7% position; position - immaterial, trail 57.73. |
| — | Jefferies Financial Group | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Jefferies printed a fresh BUY 63 after three AVOIDs, but the quality gate fails (F-Score/FCF screen), adjusted conviction 62 is under the 65 floor, and the 12-week view is -34%. Not acquired. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
215 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.