Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict
3 DISPOSE (CCB -50%->25,700, Link REIT exit->0, Tencent exit->0) free ~HK; 2 ACQUIRE held-semis (SMIC +, ASMPT +500 QUEUED@224.; no new (buy pool 12wk-inverted). ~HK available.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB | 7.84 | REDUCE 50% | 8.07 | 8.61⚠ | 7.73 (-4.2%) | 6.93 (-14.1%) | 7.04 (-12.8%) | |
| 0823 | Link REIT | 36.86 | EXIT 100% | 36.50 | 36.80 | n/a | n/a | 29.64 (-18.8%) | |
| 0700 | Tencent | 430.20 | EXIT 100% | 429.80 | 428.75 | n/a | n/a | 298.86 (-30.5%) | |
| 0981 | SMIC | 80.40 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @90.23 lapsed — closed 80.40 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 194.20 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @224.27 lapsed — closed 194.20 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 109.60 | HOLD | 149.00 | 140.99⚠ | n/a | 202.41 (+35.8%) | 212.32 (+42.5%) | |
| 1347 | Hua Hong | 186.10 | HOLD | 215.20 | 154.19 | n/a | 320.61 (+49.0%) | 306.66 (+42.5%) | |
| 0005 | HSBC | 149.50 | HOLD | 147.90 | 140.00 | n/a | 152.94 (+3.4%) | 158.81 (+7.4%) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
57 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.062 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.