Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict
3 DISPOSE (CCB -50% -> 25,700; Link REIT exit -> 0; Tencent -50% -> 100) free ~HK; NO firm acquire (2513 Knowledge Atlas is the only +12wk buy but un-sizeable within risk budget: 20% ATR / -23% model stop). ~HK + ~HK proceeds = ~HK available.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB | 7.84 | REDUCE 50% | 7.84 | 7.32 | n/a | 8.46 (+7.9%) | 6.42 (-18.1%) | |
| 0823 | Link REIT | 36.86 | EXIT 100% | 36.86 | 36.86 | n/a | n/a | 30.37 (-17.6%) | |
| 0700 | Tencent | 430.20 | REDUCE 50% | 430.20 | 430.20 | n/a | n/a | 305.24 (-29.0%) | |
| 2513 | Knowledge Atlas | 1754.00 | WATCH | 1772.77 | 1365.41 | n/a | 2725.19 (+53.7%) | 2499.45 (+41.0%) | |
| 0005 | HSBC | 149.50 | HOLD | 149.50 | 147.00 | n/a | 154.57 (+3.4%) | 161.26 (+7.9%) | |
| 2888 | StanChart | 215.80 | HOLD | 215.80 | 211.60 | n/a | 224.59 (+4.1%) | 245.72 (+13.9%) | |
| 6869 | YOFC | 198.30 | HOLD | 191.60 | 188.45 | n/a | 246.02 (+28.4%) | 232.65 (+21.4%) | |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 109.60 | HOLD | 135.62 | 101.17 | n/a | 216.15 (+59.4%) | 156.18 (+15.2%) | |
| 3750 | CATL | 681.00 | HOLD | 681.00 | 647.00 | n/a | n/a | 712.61 (+4.6%) | |
| 0992 | Lenovo | 22.02 | HOLD | 24.14 | 21.50 | n/a | 28.82 (+19.4%) | 31.38 (+30.0%) | |
| 1347 | Hua Hong | 186.10 | HOLD | 186.10 | 154.19 | n/a | n/a | 265.19 (+42.5%) | |
| 0981 | SMIC | 80.40 | HOLD | 80.40 | 73.81 | n/a | n/a | 103.38 (+28.6%) | |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 194.20 | HOLD | 194.20 | 174.16 | n/a | n/a | 276.73 (+42.5%) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
57 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.062 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.