Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | China Construction Bank (H) | 9.59 | ADD — QUEUED @9.55 | 9.55 | 9.15 | 9.59 (+0.4%) | 9.58 (+0.3%) | 9.51 (-0.4%) | CCB printed a fresh pullback-to-VWAP add signal at the close (Buy_Rank #1), the book's most reliable buy pattern, trading above its 20- and-day averages; valuation is blind for this listing, so we queue the add at the model entry just below the close rather than paying up. OPS: single closing print after HOLD 60-61 intraday; 12wk flat (9.51) - the weak leg; 63.97% x = (lot); stop 9.15 (2.0 ATR) for the combined position after fill, 9.45 until then; L7 hkfin holds 0939 - execute once from hk. · news |
| 2513 | Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas) | 780.00 | SELL 85.46% | 780.00 | 660.80 | 820.95 (+5.3%) | 869.85 (+11.5%) | 865.25 (+10.9%) | Z.AI held a strong sell-and-reduce signal on every print for two sessions, with the intraday rally to 795 failing far below its 20-day average while the placement and convertible-bond overhang still weighs; the largest dollar risk in the book, so cut most of it. OPS: session 2 of the 09-17 card (HK-11 limit not reached); 85.46% x (R7 downward); residual on WATCH 660.80; estimator points up (+5-11%) - P2 high-ATR pattern, T5 down-weight; -52.29% vs Avg_Cost 1,635. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 115.50 | SELL 85.46% | 115.50 | 105.00 | 117.42 (+1.7%) | 121.94 (+5.6%) | 124.68 (+7.9%) | Hua Hong flipped back to a stable strong sell-and-reduce signal on all six prints, meeting the re-arm trigger we pre-committed when the last sell was retired; it is also the most richly priced name in the book versus fair value, which moves it up the sell list. OPS: T6 re-arm 'REDUCE cv>=65' fired (cv76); MoS -18.05 up-rank only (no tier at 85.46%); x 85.46% = (lot); residual stop 105.00; 12wk estimate exceeds DCF anchor; -27.81% vs cost 160. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 65.15 | SELL 85.46% | 65.15 | 61.55 | 65.15 (+0.0%) | 66.11 (+1.5%) | 71.19 (+9.3%) | SMIC printed a stable strong sell-and-reduce signal all session, under its VWAP and-day average, firing the promotion trigger we set when it was held back by the cap yesterday; rich valuation versus fair value ranks it ahead of ASMPT for the last slot. OPS: T6 promotion 'REDUCE cv>=65' fired (cv76); MoS -5.35 up-rank over 0522 (-4.07) despite smaller bleed 139k vs 158k; x 85.46% = (lot 500); residual 500 stop 61.55. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 168.10 | NO ACTION | 168.10 | 152.83 | 167.10 (-0.6%) | 179.38 (+6.7%) | 170.97 (+1.7%) | ASMPT turned to a strong sell-and-reduce signal after two no-trade sessions, but closed +5% on the iPhone 18 launch day with a mildly positive 12-week view; held back by the three-sell cap. OPS: cap overflow #4; promotes on a second consecutive settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR settled close < 152.83. · news |
| 0823 | Link REIT | 37.02 | NO ACTION | 37.02 | 36.74 | 37.14 (+0.3%) | 37.45 (+1.2%) | 36.59 (-1.2%) | Link REIT keeps a stable strong sell-and-reduce signal with a negative 12-week view, but its dollar exposure is the smallest of the flagged names, so it sits behind the cap. OPS: cap overflow #5; 09-17 SELL 1,400 unexecuted; promotes on settled close < 36.74. · news |
| 0700 | Tencent | 419.00 | NO ACTION | 419.00 | 416.17 | 417.23 (-0.4%) | 412.61 (-1.5%) | 407.89 (-2.7%) | Tencent broke down to close at the day's low with a negative 12-week view, but the sell label appeared only at the settled close after five intraday AVOID prints, so it waits for confirmation. OPS: late-flipped REDUCE; cap overflow #6; promotes on settled close < 416.17 OR a second REDUCE print. · news |
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 161.60 | HOLD | 159.80 | 155.31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HSBC's stop-break sell was issued for the third and final time and not executed; the signal has since softened to AVOID and the break narrowed, so the sell is retired to a watch line. OPS: HK-11 retirement (signal decay NT->AVOID 63, not REDUCE); close 161.60 vs 163.18 (0.52 ATR); re-arm settled close < 155.31 OR REDUCE cv>=65; model stop 167.73 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 507.00 | HOLD | 507.00 | 486.40 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - WATCH 486.40; re-arm settled close < 486.40 OR REDUCE cv>=65. |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 245.00 | HOLD | 245.00 | 236.74 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - stop 236.74; intraday AnticipationUp_VCP HOLD 84-97 never printed BUY-ANTICIPATE. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 43.30 | HOLD | 43.30 | 34.40 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - stop 34.40; NO TRADE x1 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'; 2x leveraged-ETF rule unmet. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
231 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.220 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.