Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2513 | Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas) | 794.00 | SELL 85.46% | 794.00 | 660.80 | 831.14 (+4.7%) | 884.59 (+11.4%) | 868.05 (+9.3%) | Z.AI has held a strong sell-and-reduce signal at three straight settled closes, trading far below its 20-day average with the multi-billion share-sale overhang still weighing; it is the book's largest dollar risk, so cut most of it at the open. OPS: HK-11 ESCALATION - issue 3 (09-17, 09-18, 09-21), market at open; if unexecuted on 09-22 retire to WATCH 660.80 at next EOD, never re-issue; 85.46% x (R7); residual WATCH 660.80; estimator points up +4.7..+11.4% (P2/T5 down-weight); -51.44% vs Avg_Cost 1,635. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 65.60 | SELL 85.46% | 65.60 | 61.55 | 65.19 (-0.6%) | 66.42 (+1.3%) | 71.16 (+8.5%) | SMIC printed a second straight settled strong sell-and-reduce signal, closing under its VWAP, 20-day and-day averages, and it is richly priced versus fair value, which moves it up the sell list. OPS: session 2 of the 09-18 card; MoS -5.60 up-rank only (no tier at 85.46%); x 85.46% = (lot 500); residual 500 stop 61.55; DCF anchor n/a. · news |
| 0700 | Tencent | 430.00 | SELL 85.46% | 430.00 | 416.17 | 426.21 (-0.9%) | 421.52 (-2.0%) | 418.05 (-2.8%) | Tencent confirmed its breakdown with a second settled strong sell-and-reduce print, stable all session, below its 20- and-day averages with a negative 12-week view; the pre-committed trigger fired, so trim half. OPS: T6 promotion 'second REDUCE print' fired, intraday 70-76); outranks 0823 on the fired trigger (09-18 precedent); x 85.46% = (lot); residual stop 416.17. · news |
| 0823 | Link REIT | 37.48 | NO ACTION | 37.48 | 36.74 | 37.67 (+0.5%) | 37.91 (+1.1%) | 36.82 (-1.8%) | Link REIT keeps a stable strong sell-and-reduce signal with a negative 12-week view, but it sits behind the three-sell cap on the smallest dollar exposure among the flagged names. OPS: cap overflow #4; promotes on settled close < 36.74 or a freed slot. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 115.50 | HOLD | 115.50 | 105.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong's sell signal faded back to AVOID after one session and the 09-18 sell was not executed, so the sell is retired to a watch line rather than re-issued. OPS: signal decay S.SELL-RED 76 -> AVOID 63; re-arm REDUCE cv>=65 OR settled close < 105.00; model stop 128.70 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 167.40 | HOLD | 167.40 | 152.83 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - stop 152.83; REDUCE 71 -> HOLD 50, promotion not fired. |
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 161.50 | HOLD | 161.50 | 155.31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - WATCH 155.31; re-arm settled close < 155.31 OR REDUCE cv>=65; model stop 167.13 > close refused (P6). |
| 3750 | CATL | 504.00 | HOLD | 504.00 | 486.40 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - WATCH 486.40; AVOID 61, RSI 23.4; model stop 544.61 > close refused (P6). |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 246.00 | HOLD | 246.00 | 236.74 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - stop 236.74; HOLD 73; dead 12wk not a fire tick (P1). |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 44.30 | HOLD | 44.30 | 34.40 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD - stop 34.40; NO TRADE x2 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'; 2x leveraged-ETF rule unmet; KRX closed 09-24/25. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
230 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.640 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.