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HK End-of-Day Verdict 22 Sept 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-09-22 (hk)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0981SMIC64.30SELL 85.46%64.3061.5564.39 (+0.1%)65.08 (+1.2%)69.97 (+8.8%)SMIC printed a third straight settled strong sell-and-reduce signal and closed under its VWAP, 20-day and-day averages; it is richly priced versus fair value, which moves it up the sell list. OPS: HK-11 escalation issue 3 (09-18, 09-21, 09-22) - final issue, market at open; if unexecuted on 09-23 retire to WATCH 61.55, do not re-issue. MoS -5.60 up-rank only; x 85.46% = (lot 500); residual 500 stop 61.55 (model 58.92). · news
0823Link REIT37.62SELL 85.46%37.6236.7437.75 (+0.3%)37.84 (+0.6%)36.87 (-2.0%)Link REIT has printed a strong sell-and-reduce signal on five straight settled closes, now ranked first on the sell list, with price below all key averages and a negative 12-week outlook. OPS: promoted from overflow - 09-21 trigger 'a slot frees' fired when 2513 retired; 2nd primary issue (1st 09-17); MoS 0.01 degenerate, no argue-down; x 85.46% = (lot); residual 500 stop 36.74. · news
0700Tencent451.60SELL 85.46%451.60420.11447.62 (-0.9%)444.93 (-1.5%)443.24 (-1.9%)Tencent held its strong sell-and-reduce signal for a third settled close; the stock is still well below its-day average and the 12-week outlook is negative, so today's 5% bounce is used to cut half. OPS: session 2 of the 09-21 card; conviction decaying ->66 (weakest of the three cards, adj 70 still clears); x 85.46% = (lot); residual stop 420.11 (model, tighter than recorded 416.17). · news
2513Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas)742.00SELL RETIRED @794.00794.00660.80n/an/an/aZ.AI's escalated sell from 09-21 was not executed, so under the book's rule it is retired to a watch line at 660.80 rather than re-issued, even though the sell signal is still printing. OPS: HK-11 pre-committed retirement (issue 3 unexecuted); card price 794.00 vs 742.00 close; re-arm price-only settled close < 660.80; model stop 577.99 degenerate (-22%, HK-12) refused; conflict with amended 'signal decay' limb flagged (systemic 2). · news
6869YOFC190.50WATCH178.08162.27190.73 (+7.1%)200.62 (+12.7%)210.23 (+18.1%)YOFC printed a top-ranked strong buy, but it fails the quality screen and trades far above fair value, and the price has already run 0.9 ATR past the model entry, so no new position is opened. OPS: Quality_Pass False blocks new entries; would be QUEUE @178.08 if ungated; trail unstable (NT 0 09-18, WATCH 63 09-21). · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor113.80HOLD113.80105.00n/an/an/aHua Hong's signal stays at AVOID with no fresh reduce, so the position rides its watch line. OPS: re-arm REDUCE cv>=65 OR settled close < 105.00; model stop 126.76 > close refused (P6). · news
0522ASMPT170.20HOLD170.20152.83n/an/an/aASMPT holds with a neutral HOLD signal above its stop. OPS: stop 152.83 (model 154.59). · news
0939China Construction Bank (H)9.74HOLD9.749.45n/an/an/aCCB holds with a neutral HOLD signal, 3% above its stop. OPS: stop 9.45 (model 9.35). · news
0005HSBC159.30HOLD159.30155.31n/an/an/aHSBC shows no clear signal (consensus conflict) and a flat 12-week view; it stays on its watch line. OPS: WATCH 155.31, close +2.6% above. · news
3750CATL507.00HOLD507.00486.40n/an/an/aCATL is deeply oversold and now prints a bounce-hold signal, so it is held above its watch line. OPS: WATCH 486.40 (model 468.71), RSI 25.3. · news
2888Standard Chartered239.40HOLD239.40236.74n/an/an/aStanChart's signal lapsed to no-trade with a negative 12-week view and the price only 1% above its stop; a settled close below the stop makes it a sale. OPS: L2 armed - settled close < 236.74 -> DISPOSE next EOD. · news
7709CSOP SK Hynix 2x42.50HOLD42.5034.40n/an/an/aThe 2x Hynix ETF shows no signal for a third close; the leveraged-ETF exit rule is not met, so it is held on its stop. OPS: stop 34.40. · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

233 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.640 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.