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HK End-of-Day Verdict 23 Sept 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-09-23 (hk)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 2 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
2513Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas)650.00SELL 85.46%650.00577.99694.17 (+6.8%)740.20 (+13.9%)783.18 (+20.5%)Z.AI broke down 12% to close at 650, below the 660.80 watch line set when the prior sell was retired, and its strong sell-and-reduce signal strengthened to conviction 81 as the top-ranked sell, so most of the position is cut. OPS: WATCH 660.80 price-only re-arm fired on settled close (T6) - issue 1 of a new HK-11 cycle, not a re-issue; BreakdownDown_20D|sell +2; x 85.46% = (lot); residual stop 577.99 (model 440.73 -32% degenerate, HK-12 refused); Est_* disagree (T5 down-weighted); Apsara/summit two-sided (T3). · news
0823Link REIT37.70SELL 85.46%37.7036.7437.89 (+0.5%)37.99 (+0.8%)36.87 (-2.2%)Link REIT has now printed a strong sell-and-reduce signal on six straight settled closes, trades below all its key averages, and carries a negative 12-week outlook, so the sell is escalated to market at the open. OPS: HK-11 escalation issue 3 (primary 09-17, 09-22, 09-23; T2 counts decisions) - final issue; if unexecuted on 09-24 retire to WATCH 36.74, do not re-issue; MoS 0.01 degenerate, no argue-down; x 85.46% = (lot); residual 500 stop 36.74 (model 36.62). · news
0981SMIC63.80SELL RETIRED @64.3064.3061.55n/an/an/aSMIC's escalated sell from 09-22 was not executed and its sell signal has since faded to AVOID, so it is retired to a watch line at 61.55 rather than re-issued. OPS: HK-11 pre-committed retirement + signal decay (S.SELL-RED 66 -> AVOID 64), both limbs agree; card price 64.30 vs 63.80 close; re-arm price-only settled close < 61.55; model stop 68.60 > close refused (P6). · news
0700Tencent441.00SELL RETIRED @451.60451.60420.11n/an/an/aTencent's sell from 09-22 was not executed and the sell signal has decayed to AVOID, so the card is retired to a watch line at 420.11. OPS: amended HK-11 signal-decay limb (S.SELL-RED 66 -> AVOID 53); card 451.60 vs 441.00 close; re-arm settled close < 420.11 OR settled S.SELL-RED cv>=65; model stop 472.51 > close refused (P6). · news
6869YOFC195.70WATCH195.70189.50197.01 (+0.7%)205.71 (+5.1%)216.12 (+10.4%)YOFC is the top-ranked strong buy again, but it fails the quality screen and trades far above fair value, so no new position is opened. OPS: Quality_Pass False blocks new entries; signal switched PullbackBuy_VWAP -> FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (HK-1 chase family, -5); would be market @195.70 at size x0.5 if ungated. · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor114.20HOLD114.20105.00n/an/an/aHua Hong holds on its watch line; the sell signal has not re-armed. OPS: AVOID 60; re-arm REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 105; 15:00 intraday S.SELL-RED 39 not settled; model stop 126.13 > close refused (P6). · news
0522ASMPT171.00HOLD171.00155.96n/an/an/aASMPT holds with a neutral HOLD signal above its stop. OPS: stop raised 152.83 -> 155.96 (model, -8.8%). · news
0939CCB9.66HOLD9.669.45n/an/an/aCCB holds with a steady HOLD signal above its stop. OPS: stop 9.45 (model 9.20 looser). · news
0005HSBC159.50HOLD159.50155.31n/an/an/aHSBC holds; the engine prints no trade on a consensus conflict and the 12-week view is flat. OPS: NO TRADE x2 settled (tick d) but P1 blocks PROFIT_ARMED origination; L2 not met; WATCH 155.31. · news
3750CATL511.50HOLD511.50486.40n/an/an/aCATL holds on an oversold-bounce HOLD signal above its watch line. OPS: HOLD 71, RSI 28.1; 15:30 intraday S.SELL-RED 68 not settled (L4); WATCH 486.40. · news
2888Standard Chartered240.00HOLD240.00236.74n/an/an/aStandard Chartered recovered to a HOLD signal and closed above its stop. OPS: HOLD 63, close 240; L2 still armed (12wk 233.20 < close) - settled close < 236.74 = DISPOSE. · news
7709CSOP SK Hynix 2x43.84HOLD43.8438.16n/an/an/aThe 2x Hynix ETF holds on a low-conviction HOLD signal. OPS: stop raised 34.40 -> 38.16 (model, -13%); leveraged-ETF full-exit rule unmet. · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

236 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.640 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.