Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0823 | LINK REIT | 37.52 | SELL 85.46% | 37.52 | 36.74 | 37.65 (+0.3%) | 37.68 (+0.4%) | 36.73 (-2.1%) | Link REIT has printed a STRONG SELL-REDUCE on seven straight settled closes, sits below its 20/-day averages, and the 12-week view is negative; valuation is neutral (MoS ~0). OPS: HK-11 card carried, NOT retired - amended HK-11 requires SIGNAL decay and the label is still S.SELL-RED, Sell_Rank #1); the 09-23 "retire if unexecuted" pre-commitment is overridden by the amended rule. Market at the 09-25 open. Residual stop 36.74. Unexecuted since 09-17. · news |
| 2513 | Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas) | 638.50 | SELL 80% | 621.55 | 577.99 | 677.59 (+9.0%) | 737.82 (+18.7%) | 751.45 (+20.9%) | Z.AI keeps making lower closes -> 638.5) in a 20-day breakdown and remains under its pre-committed 660.80 watch line; the engine itself now prints a sell-stop at 621.55. OPS: 09-23 market card (SELL @650, S.SELL-RED 81) unexecuted and SUPERSEDED: label decayed to AVOID 42, so the market order is downgraded to a self-limiting GTC sell-stop at the live Entry_Price (provenance). HK-11 issue 2 of this cycle. Estimator disagrees (T5, down-weighted). Residual stop 577.99 (model 819.68 > close refused, P6). · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 236.00 | SELL 43.1% | 236.00 | 224.08 | 234.62 (-0.6%) | 234.38 (-0.7%) | 230.27 (-2.4%) | Standard Chartered closed below its recorded stop with a negative 12-week view and conviction collapsing, which triggers the pre-committed stop-break trim. OPS: L2 + T6 - the 09-23 card pre-committed "settled close < 236.74 = DISPOSE"; close 236.00 (-0.31%, marginal). 50% trim -> (lot 50, 08-03 precedent). Residual stop 224.08 (model, -5.1%). Cross-book: hk governs hkfin shares (L7). · news |
| 0005 | HSBC | 156.90 | HOLD | 156.90 | 155.31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HSBC holds above its watch line on a flat forward view. OPS: NO TRADE x4 settled; close 156.90, +1.0% above WATCH 155.31 (near-stop, S9a); 12wk 156.99 flat so L2 not armed; P1 blocks tick (d). · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 166.00 | HOLD | 166.00 | 155.96 | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT holds above its stop after slipping to a no-trade read. OPS: HOLD 63 -> NO TRADE 0; close 166.00, stop 155.96 (+6.4%); 12wk 164.2 slightly negative - L2 arms if a settled close < 155.96. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 438.40 | HOLD | 438.40 | 420.11 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent is retired to its watch line; the sell signal has not re-armed. OPS: AVOID 51; re-arm = settled close < 420.11 OR settled S.SELL-RED cv>=65; model stop 466.65 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 0939 | CCB | 9.68 | HOLD | 9.68 | 9.45 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CCB holds on a steady HOLD signal above its 20-day average. OPS: HOLD 63 x4 settled; stop 9.45 kept (model 9.31 looser). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 63.80 | HOLD | 63.80 | 61.55 | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC stays retired to its watch line; no re-arm. OPS: AVOID 63; close 63.80 (+3.7% above 61.55); model stop 68.16 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 110.40 | HOLD | 110.40 | 105.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong holds above its watch line; the sell signal is below the reduce threshold. OPS: AVOID 55; close 110.40 (+5.1%); re-arm REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 105; model stop 121.94 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 492.80 | HOLD | 492.80 | 486.40 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL holds on an oversold-reversal signal just above its watch line. OPS: HOLD 70, RSI 24.0; close 492.80 (+1.3% above WATCH 486.40, near-stop); 12wk 504.09 positive so L2 not armed. · news |
| 7709 | CSOP SK Hynix 2x | 42.52 | HOLD | 42.52 | 38.16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x Hynix ETF holds above its stop while Korea is shut for Chuseok. OPS: NO TRADE; KRX closed 09-24/25 (quote drifts off NAV); leveraged-ETF full-exit rule unmet; stop 38.16 (+11.4%). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
239 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.