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HK End-of-Day Verdict 25 Sept 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-09-25 (hk)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 1 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS633.50SELL 80%603.43577.99662.91 (+9.9%)738.11 (+22.3%)757.91 (+25.6%)Z.AI closed lower for a third session under its 660.80 watch line on a 20-day breakdown signal, so the stop-sell stays working at the model's breakdown level; valuation is blind and news is quiet. OPS: repriced from 621.55 (09-24 card, unplaced; day low 610 would have filled it) to live Entry_Price 603.43; T6 pre-committed WATCH, adj 48 < floor so stop not market; issue 2 of HK-11 cycle; residual stop 577.99; model stop 781.37 > close refused (P6); Est_* disagrees, down-weighted (T5). Withdraw if close reclaims 660.80 or label turns bullish. · news
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS157.60HOLD157.60155.31n/an/an/aHSBC holds above its watch line with no active signal. OPS: NO TRADE x4; close 157.60 (+1.5%); 12wk 157.31 flat; PROFIT_ARMED ignored (P1). · news
0522ASMPT164.20HOLD164.20155.96n/an/an/aASMPT holds comfortably above its stop with a flat-to-positive 12-week view. OPS: HOLD 42; close 164.20; 12wk 165.88. · news
0700TENCENT436.60HOLD436.60420.11n/an/an/aTencent's new strong-sell print is a low-conviction late flip, so the retired watch line stands. OPS: AVOID 51 -> SSR 37; HK-11 retired, re-arm REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 420.11 unmet; close 436.60. · news
0939CCB - H SHS9.53HOLD9.549.45n/an/an/aCCB holds just above its stop with a positive 12-week view. OPS: HOLD; close 9.535 (+0.9%, near-stop); 12wk 9.83. · news
0981SMIC63.35HOLD63.3561.55n/an/an/aSMIC holds above its retired watch line. OPS: AVOID 50; close 63.35 (+2.9%); model stop 67.42 > close refused (P6). · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor110.40HOLD110.40105.00n/an/an/aHua Hong holds above its watch line; the sell signal is below the reduce threshold. OPS: AVOID 50; close 110.40 (+5.1%); model stop 121.04 > close refused (P6). · news
3750CATL489.40HOLD489.40486.40n/an/an/aCATL settled just above its watch line after an intraday dip below it; the 12-week view stays positive. OPS: HOLD 70 -> AVOID 47 (BreakdownDown_52W), RSI 23.4; low 481 < 486.40 intraday, close 489.40 (+0.6%); re-arm settled close < 486.40. · news
7709CSOP SK Hynix 2x42.64HOLD42.6438.16n/an/an/aThe 2x Hynix ETF holds well above its stop. OPS: HOLD 47; close 42.64; leveraged-ETF full-exit rule unmet. · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

242 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.