Recommendations
1 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.82 | ADD — QUEUED @9.70 | 9.70 | 9.32 | 9.86 (+1.6%) | 9.75 (+0.5%) | 10.30 (+6.2%) | CCB strengthened into a strong buy-add on a pullback-to-VWAP setup (86, Buy_Rank #1) after a buy-add print the day before; the close sits 0.64 ATR above the model entry, so the add waits for a dip to 9.70 rather than chasing. OPS: PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy -8 (hit_1w.111 n=18) -> adj 78 >= 65; NA_CCY val_adj 0; 70.29% x = (lot); stale-equity max_position cap not applied (U6); stop 9.32 model; target 10.20; payrolls 10-05 with Southbound dark; hkfin must not add in parallel (L7); expires 2026-10-06. · news |
| 2513 | Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas) | 641.00 | SELL 85.46% | 641.00 | 580.67 | 672.76 (+5.0%) | 752.25 (+17.4%) | 754.46 (+17.7%) | Z.AI printed a strong-sell on every print today (65-68, Sell_Rank #1) on a failed-breakout-down signal, and for the first time the exit clears the conviction floor on its own; with the stock down about 61% from cost, stepping out of 80% of the line limits further damage. OPS: NEW signal-based card (adj 72), not an HK-11 re-issue - amended HK-11 bars retirement while the signal strengthens (AVOID 46 -> SSR 68); 09-29 market card unexecuted; 85.46% x (lot); model stop 640.99 close refused (P6); residual WATCH 580.67; estimator disagrees (+5.0% 1wk), down-weighted (T5). If unexecuted at 10-02 -> retire to WATCH 580.67 unless a new settled SSR >= 65. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 60.65 | SELL 85.46% | 60.65 | 56.34 | 61.19 (+0.9%) | 61.39 (+1.2%) | 62.82 (+3.6%) | SMIC held a strong-sell on a third straight settled close and stays below its pre-committed 61.55 line, with a growth-priced-in valuation; selling most of the line steps out of the downtrend before Micron and TSMC read-throughs. OPS: HK-11 issue 3 (09-28, 09-29, 09-30) = the one escalation, market-at-open; T6 still fired (60.65 < 61.55); RallySell_BearTrend|sell +4 -> adj 59 (T6/HK-11 basis, not the floor); 85.46% x (lot 500, R7); MoS -5.14 up-ranks, tier bump suppressed (G2/U7); residual 500 stop 56.34 model. If unexecuted -> WATCH 56.34; hksemicon must not sell in parallel (L7). · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 37.20 | HOLD | — | 36.74 | n/a | n/a | n/a | SSR 55 settled but re-arm unmet (close 37.20 > 36.74; cv < 65); near-miss adj 59. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 105.40 | HOLD | — | 105.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | SSR 27 settled (65 early intraday); close 105.40 +0.4% above WATCH 105.00; re-arm unmet. |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 431.00 | HOLD | — | 420.11 | n/a | n/a | n/a | First settled SSR 55 (Sell_Rank #2); adj 59 < 65; close 431.00 > WATCH 420.11; near-miss. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 160.00 | HOLD | — | 155.96 | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (2nd settled print, P1 suppresses tick d); close 160.00. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 158.00 | HOLD | — | 155.31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE; close 158.00 (+1.7% above WATCH). |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 244.40 | HOLD | — | 236.74 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD 73; close 244.40; 12wk 238.90 < close keeps L2 re-arm. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 40.10 | HOLD | — | 38.16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | First NO TRADE print; close 40.10; Micron FQ4 priced 10-02. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
249 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.