Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 149.50 | SELL 50% | 149.50 | 143.47 | 150.07 (+0.4%) | 150.68 (+0.8%) | 148.41 (-0.7%) | HSBC closed decisively below its recorded stop (149.50 vs 155.31, about 1.5 ATR) with a flat-to-negative 12-week view and no supporting signal, so half the book's largest position is cut to define the risk. No dated company news explains the -5.4% day; it fell with a -2.6% Hang Seng. OPS: L2 stop-break + neg 12wk (148.41 < close); 50% per hk L2 precedent, (lot 400); NA_CCY MoS -8.53 is a defective bank anchor (HK-EOQ-5) -> up-rank only, no tier bump; residual stop 143.47 (EMA); reprice if the 10-05 open gaps >1.5%. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 2513 | Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas) | 626.50 | SELL 85.46% | 626.50 | 580.67 | 660.05 (+5.4%) | 741.27 (+18.3%) | 753.86 (+20.3%) | Z.AI's floor-clearing strong-sell from 09-30 never executed and the trend is still down (AVOID 55 in the same failed-breakout family, far below its 20/50-day averages), so the reduction is carried rather than retired. OPS: HK-EOQ-2 (active 10-02) - a sell is only withdrawn/retired on a new bullish signal; supersedes the 09-30 'retire to WATCH if unexecuted' note; (lot); model stop == close (P6) refused; residual WATCH 580.67; estimator disagrees (T5/P2) and is down-weighted; opened exactly at 641 on 10-02 unexecuted. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 421.20 | SELL 85.46% | 421.20 | 399.56 | 417.77 (-0.8%) | 413.19 (-1.9%) | 405.48 (-3.7%) | Tencent's bear-trend rally-sell strengthened to a settled strong-sell 65 (77 intraday, Sell_Rank #1) below all its major averages with a negative 12-week view, meeting the pre-committed re-arm, so half the position is sold; valuation is fair and adds nothing either way. OPS: T6 re-arm 'settled REDUCE cv>=65' met; RallySell_BearTrend|sell +4 -> adj 69; 85.46% x = (lot); residual stop 399.56 (model). RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 60.25 | HOLD | — | 56.34 | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC's sell case stays open (bearish AVOID 50, close 60.25 under the 61.55 line) but is outside the three-slot cap this session. OPS: HK-EOQ-2 bars retirement without a bullish signal; first in line; re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR settled close < 56.34; 09-30 SELL 2,000 unexecuted. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 229.80 | HOLD | — | 236.74⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | StanChart broke its 236.74 line (close 229.80) with a negative 12-week view and a conviction collapse; L2 is armed but the HK position missed the three-slot cap. OPS: first in line - if the settled close stays < 236.74, L2 50% trim (lot 50); stop kept at the breached line so the monitor keeps flagging. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 36.44 | HOLD | — | 36.74⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | Link REIT closed just under its 36.74 line, but the sell signal decayed (strong-sell 55 to AVOID 42) and the 12-week view is positive, so no trim this session. OPS: sell on a second settled close < 36.74 OR a settled REDUCE cv>=65. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 105.50 | HOLD | — | 105.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong is holding 0.5% above its 105.00 watch line on a bearish but sub-floor AVOID 56. OPS: re-arm settled close < 105.00 OR settled REDUCE cv>=65. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 173.00 | HOLD | — | 159.93 | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT jumped 8.1% to a breakout buy-add 73, but valuation (-10) takes it below the floor and it printed strong-sell earlier the same day, so it is held without an add and the stop is lifted to the model level. OPS: adj 63 < 65; HK-1 chase family; stop 155.96 -> 159.93. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 476.80 | HOLD | — | 453.30 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL is deeply oversold (RSI 21.8) on a reversal-up HOLD 70, so it holds above its 453.30 watch line. OPS: re-arm settled close < 453.30 OR settled REDUCE cv>=65. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 42.20 | HOLD | — | 38.16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x SK Hynix tracker rallied 5.2% on the Micron read-through to 42.20, well above its 38.16 stop, with no actionable signal. OPS: NT x6; P1 suppresses profit-take tick (d); leveraged-ETF trim-not-dump rule applies. RE-RUN 2026-10-03: replacement EOD entry after book holdings corrections (hk holdings unchanged); execution token normalised to C0 canon. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
252 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.