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HK End-of-Day Verdict 5 Oct 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-10-05 (hk)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS149.90SELL 50%149.90143.55149.51 (-0.3%)150.79 (+0.6%)147.84 (-1.4%)HSBC is still closing below its 155.31 risk line with a negative 12-week view, so half the position is cut; the bank fair-value anchor is defective and is not used to size up. OPS: L2 50% trim carried from 10-02 (unexecuted); not retired (HK-EOQ-2, no bullish signal); (lot 400); residual stop 143.55 (EMA); reprice on >1.5% open gap; Southbound dark 10-06. · news
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS665.00SELL 85.46%665.00580.67704.09 (+5.9%)779.39 (+17.2%)811.42 (+22.0%)Z.AI printed a fresh settled strong-sell 65 into a 6% bounce, still far below its 20- and 50-day averages, so most of the position is sold into strength. OPS: 85.46% x (lot 100); model stop 664.99 == close refused (P6); residual WATCH 580.67; estimator disagrees, down-weighted (T5/P2); HK-11 third session carrying a 2513 sell, re-issued on a new settled signal; 09-30 card was user-skipped 10-03 (Q3 clean slate). · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor110.00SELL 85.46%110.00100.58111.36 (+1.2%)111.00 (+0.9%)114.27 (+3.9%)Hua Hong turned to a stable strong-sell 73, the book's strongest sell signal, while deeply priced for growth, so two-thirds is sold on the bounce ahead of ASML/TSMC results. OPS: T6 re-arm (settled REDUCE cv>=65) met; (lot 1,000, R7); valuation up-rank only, no tier bump (DCF blank, G2); residual stop 100.58 (model). · news
0981SMIC61.30HOLD—57.13n/an/an/aSMIC's sell re-arm is met (stable strong-sell 70) but the three-slot cap is full with larger positions; it is first in line. OPS: next session SELL (lot 500) if settled REDUCE cv>=65 persists; stop 56.34 -> 57.13 (model); withdraw only on a bullish signal (HK-EOQ-2). · news
3750CATL483.40HOLD—453.30n/an/an/aCATL flipped to a strong-sell 68 from an oversold reversal hold; it is second in line behind the slot cap. OPS: next session SELL (lot 100) if settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 453.30; RSI 26.6. · news
0823LINK REIT36.40HOLD—36.74⚠n/an/an/aLink REIT closed below its 36.74 line for a second session, but the strong-sell 55 is sub-floor and the 12-week view is positive; third in line. OPS: next session SELL 2,300 (lot 100) if close < 36.74 again OR settled REDUCE cv>=65. · news
2888STANCHART228.60HOLD—236.74⚠n/an/an/aStanChart is below its 236.74 line for a second session with a negative 12-week view (L2 armed), but the small position missed the slot cap. OPS: L2 50% trim (lot 50) when a slot frees; stop kept at the breached line so the monitor keeps flagging. · news
0700TENCENT423.00HOLD—420.11n/an/an/aTencent's strong-sell faded to AVOID 60 at the close, just under the floor, so the 10-02 one-lot trim is not re-slotted; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR settled close < 420.11; 10-02 SELL 100 unexecuted (UNRECONCILED); model stop 443.19 > close refused. · news
0939CCB - H SHS9.51HOLD—9.28n/an/an/aCCB holds on a neutral HOLD 47 above its 9.28 model stop. OPS: add only on a settled BUY-side print with adj >= 65; bank FV masked (HK-EOQ-5). · news
0522ASMPT178.60HOLD—160.53n/an/an/aASMPT extended its rebound to 178.60 on a neutral HOLD, so it is held with the stop lifted to the model level. OPS: stop 159.93 -> 160.53; no add (HOLD 43). · news
7709XL2CSOPHYNIX42.94HOLD—38.16n/an/an/aThe 2x SK Hynix tracker holds above its 38.16 stop with no actionable signal ahead of Samsung's preliminary results. OPS: NT streak; P1 suppresses profit-take tick (d); leveraged-ETF trim-not-dump rule. · news
0992Lenovo Group Limited35.92NO ACTION35.9234.7436.08 (+0.4%)36.95 (+2.9%)37.09 (+3.3%)Lenovo is the top-ranked buy (stable BUY 73, not extended) but valuation and the weak FailedBreakdown buy record take it to 63, below the 65 floor. OPS: near-miss, HK-1 chase family; re-arm on a second settled BUY print with raw >= 75 at a non-extended entry; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

255 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.