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HK End-of-Day Verdict 6 Oct 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-10-06 (hk)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS152.80SELL 50%152.80143.62151.86 (-0.6%)152.00 (-0.5%)149.59 (-2.1%)HSBC closed below its 155.31 risk line for a third straight session with a negative 12-week view, so half the position is cut; the bank fair-value anchor is defective and is not used. OPS: L2 50% trim carried (10-02, 10-05 cards unexecuted; not retired, HK-EOQ-2 - no bullish signal); (lot 400); residual stop 143.62 (EMA); reprice on >1.5% open gap. · news
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS715.50SELL 85.46%715.50580.67747.98 (+4.5%)807.39 (+12.8%)795.16 (+11.1%)Z.AI's strong-sell strengthened to a stable 73 while it bounced another 7.6%, still well under its 20- and 50-day averages, so most of the position is sold into strength. OPS: 85.46% x (lot 100); model stop 715.49 == close refused (P6); residual WATCH 580.67; estimator disagrees, down-weighted (T5/P2); new settled signal, not a re-print (HK-11/HK-EOQ-2); undated share-sale headline not used. · news
0981SMIC61.55SELL 85.46%61.5557.7961.90 (+0.6%)61.90 (+0.6%)64.34 (+4.5%)SMIC has printed a strong-sell 70 on every snapshot for two settled sessions and sits below its 20/50/-day averages while priced for growth, so most of the position is cut ahead of TSMC results. OPS: pre-committed 10-05 'next session' re-arm met; (lot 500, R7); valuation up-rank only (DCF blank, G2); residual 500 stop 57.79 (model); hk governs hksemicon (L7). · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor108.20HOLD—100.58n/an/an/aHua Hong's strong-sell faded to AVOID 60 on a red day, just under the floor, so the unexecuted 10-05 two-thirds sale is not re-slotted; the sell case stays open. OPS: AVOID is not bullish, no withdrawal (HK-EOQ-2); re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR settled close < 100.58; model stop 117.30 > close refused (P6). · news
3750CATL488.60HOLD—458.15n/an/an/aCATL's strong-sell firmed to 70 but the three-slot cap is full with larger positions; it is first in line. OPS: next session SELL (lot 100) if settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 458.15; WATCH raised 453.30 -> 458.15 (model); RSI 30.3. · news
0823LINK REIT36.86HOLD—36.74n/an/an/aLink REIT's strong-sell rose to a stable 73 (re-arm met) but it reclaimed 36.74 and the position is small, so it waits behind the slot cap; second in line. OPS: next session SELL 2,300 (lot 100) if settled REDUCE cv>=65 persists OR close < 36.74; 12wk 37.69 positive. · news
0700TENCENT428.20HOLD—420.11n/an/an/aTencent re-armed at a settled strong-sell 73 (Sell_Rank 1), but the one-lot trim is the smallest dollar case and misses the slot cap; third in line. OPS: next session SELL 100 (lot 100) if settled REDUCE cv>=65 persists OR close < 420.11; model stop 409.57; 10-02 SELL 100 still UNRECONCILED. · news
2888STANCHART236.40HOLD—236.74⚠n/an/an/aStanChart is a hair under its 236.74 line (-0.14%, not decisive) on AVOID 60 with a negative 12-week view; fourth in line. OPS: L2 50% trim (lot 50) on a decisive settled close < 236.74 when a slot frees; model stop 250.01 > close refused (P6). · news
0939CCB - H SHS9.65HOLD—9.28n/an/an/aCCB holds on a firming HOLD 60 above its 9.28 stop. OPS: add only on a settled BUY-side adj >= 65; bank FV masked (HK-EOQ-5). · news
0522ASMPT182.00HOLD—164.62n/an/an/aASMPT extended its rebound to 182.00 on a neutral HOLD, so it is held with the stop lifted to the model level. OPS: stop 160.53 -> 164.62; no add (HOLD 53). · news
7709XL2CSOPHYNIX39.94HOLD—38.16n/an/an/aThe 2x SK Hynix tracker printed a low-conviction strong-sell 37 and holds above its 38.16 stop into Samsung's preliminary results. OPS: leveraged-ETF rule - full exit needs conv>=70 + 3 prints + < stop; sub-floor, no trim; model stop 34.84 not lowered. · news
0992Lenovo Group Limited35.40NO ACTION34.3732.5535.69 (+3.8%)36.88 (+7.3%)37.41 (+8.8%)Lenovo stays the top-ranked buy but conviction slid and it closed 0.64 ATR above the entry, so it is below the floor and extended. OPS: adj 60-5-8 = 47; re-arm settled BUY raw >= 78 at a non-extended entry; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

258 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.