Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 149.90 | SELL 50% | 149.90 | 143.71 | 149.49 (-0.3%) | 149.15 (-0.5%) | 146.33 (-2.4%) | HSBC closed below its 155.31 risk line for a fourth straight session with a negative 12-week view, so half the position is cut; the bank fair-value anchor is defective and is not used. OPS: L2 50% trim carried (10-02/10-05/10-06 cards unexecuted; not retired, HK-EOQ-2 - no bullish signal); (lot 400); residual stop 143.71 (EMA); reprice on >1.5% open gap. · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 36.92 | SELL 50% | 36.92 | 35.83 | 37.06 (+0.4%) | 37.75 (+2.2%) | 37.50 (+1.6%) | Link REIT's strong-sell firmed to 75 (Sell_Rank 1) below its 20/50/-day averages, meeting the pre-committed re-arm; because it screens marginally undervalued, the trim is held to half rather than the engine's 85%. OPS: 85.46% -> one tier down to 50% (Step 6b UNDERVALUED); (lot 100); residual stop 35.83 (model, 2 ATR); estimator disagrees, down-weighted (T5). · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 230.00 | SELL 50% | 230.00 | 206.58 | 231.02 (+0.4%) | 232.04 (+0.9%) | 223.57 (-2.8%) | StanChart's break below its 236.74 line turned decisive (230.00, -2.85%) on a fourth session with a negative 12-week view, so half the position is cut. OPS: L2 50% (174 -> lot 50 =); residual 198 stop 206.58 (EMA); bank FV defective (HK-EOQ-5), no tier bump; earnings 10-28; hk governs hkfin (L7). · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 37.26 | HOLD | — | 38.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x SK Hynix tracker broke its 38.16 stop on a low-conviction AVOID 40 but its 12-week view is positive, so it is held through Samsung's 10-08 preliminary results. OPS: leveraged-ETF rule - full exit needs conv>=70 + 3 prints + < stop; next session SELL 900 if settled close < 38.16 after the print with REDUCE >= 65; model stop 37.26 == close refused (P6); stop not lowered. · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 696.00 | HOLD | — | 580.67 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Z.AI's strong-sell faded to AVOID 60 on every print today, just under the floor, so the unexecuted 10-06 sale is not re-slotted; the sell case stays open. OPS: AVOID is not bullish, no withdrawal (HK-EOQ-2); re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 580.67; model stop 696.00 == close refused (P6); 10-06 SELL 800 UNRECONCILED. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 60.90 | HOLD | — | 57.79 | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC's strong-sell faded to AVOID 60 on every print today, just under the floor, so the unexecuted 10-06 sale is not re-slotted; the sell case stays open into TSMC results. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 57.79; model stop 64.41 > close refused (P6); 10-06 SELL 2,000 UNRECONCILED; hk governs hksemicon (L7). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 486.40 | HOLD | — | 458.15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL eased to AVOID 58 and holds well above its 458.15 watch line, so no sale yet. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 458.15 -> SELL (lot 100); model stop 514.76 > close refused (P6); RSI 29.6. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 420.60 | HOLD | — | 420.11 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent slipped to AVOID 53 and closed just 0.1% above its 420.11 watch line, so the one-lot trim waits on a decisive break. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 420.11 -> SELL 100; model stop 439.11 > close refused (P6); 10-02 SELL 100 UNRECONCILED. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 105.30 | HOLD | — | 100.58 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong's sell signal decayed further to AVOID 50; the sell case stays open with a numeric re-arm. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 100.58; model stop 113.94 > close refused (P6); 10-05 SELL 2,000 UNRECONCILED. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.63 | HOLD | — | 9.30 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CCB holds on a softer HOLD 48 above its stop, which is raised to the model level. OPS: stop 9.28 -> 9.30; add only on a settled BUY-side adj >= 65; bank FV masked (HK-EOQ-5). · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 174.50 | HOLD | — | 164.62 | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT gave back 4.1% to 174.50 on NO TRADE prints but stays above its 164.62 stop with a positive 12-week view, so it is held. OPS: PROFIT_ARMED at -11% is a junk arm (P1), no profit-take; 2 NO TRADE prints noted. · news |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 35.16 | NO ACTION | 34.72 | 33.01 | 35.48 (+2.2%) | 36.18 (+4.2%) | 37.28 (+7.4%) | Lenovo is a top-two buy again at 63 but the weak PullbackBuy record on this book and a slightly rich valuation leave it below the floor. OPS: adj 63-4-8 = 51; EntryDist -0.29; re-arm settled BUY raw >= 77 at a non-extended entry; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
| 2318 | Aac Technologies Holdings | 51.50 | NO ACTION | 51.50 | 50.37 | 51.45 (-0.1%) | 51.18 (-0.6%) | 50.67 (-1.6%) | 2318 flipped to BUY 70 only on the settled print after AVOID all day, with a 12-week view below the close and an unvalidated ticker/name pairing, so it is not bought. OPS: same-day flip; falling knife (book note B); P8(b) 2318 labelled AAC Tech (HK code 2018); re-arm second settled BUY >= 65 with positive 12wk after ticker validation. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
261 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.